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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Junior Tafa won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1448

Elo1472

Junior TafavsSean SharafUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · Saturday, October 12, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Junior Tafa won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:15

Style matchupJunior Tafa: StrikervsSean Sharaf: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Sean Sharaf wins(60.9%)

Actual result: Junior Tafa wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sean Sharaf at +195 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Junior Tafa enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Junior Tafa is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Sean Sharaf has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Junior Tafa has 72pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Junior Tafa

Red Corner

Sean Sharaf

Blue Corner

-238

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+195

(34%)

1448

Elo

1472

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'3"

190.5 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Junior TafaL5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Feb 24

SUBvs Valter Walker · Aug 24

SUBvs Tuco Tokkos · Jul 25

SUBvs Billy Elekana · Jan 26

KOvs Iwo Baraniewski · Jun 26

latest

Sean Sharaf

oldest →

KOvs Steven Asplund · Dec 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Junior TafaMetricSean Sharaf

3.62

Strikes / min

7.41

2.66

Strikes absorbed / min

15.00

51%

Strike defense

42%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.93

72%

Takedown defense

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.96Δ 8.55 — meaningful gap-7.59

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Junior TafaSean Sharaf

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Junior Tafa(8 fights)Sean Sharaf(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -24.2|Blue +24.2

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Junior TafaTargetSean Sharaf

By target zone

52% acc · 86%

Head

39% acc · 74%

91% acc · 14%

Body

70% acc · 13%

Leg

100% acc · 13%

By position

55% acc · 100%

Distance

47% acc · 83%

Clinch

33% acc · 2%

Ground

36% acc · 15%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Junior Tafa rounds

even

Sean Sharaf rounds

Round 1Sean Sharaf edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns0

Control0:00

46Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:46Control

Round 2Junior Tafa edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns0

Control0:02

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

71 / 128

Sig Strikes

53 / 118

57%

Sig Str %

44%

71 / 128

Total Strikes

54 / 122

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 8

—

TD %

10%

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

0:46

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Sean Sharaf	46 / 102	47 / 106	1 / 5
1	Junior Tafa	36 / 75	36 / 75	0 / 0
2	Sean Sharaf	7 / 16	7 / 16	0 / 3
2	Junior Tafa	35 / 53	35 / 53	0 / 0

Junior Tafa

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights9

Sean Sharaf

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights2