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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Hugo Viana won · Decision R3
Elo1353
Elo1355

Junior HernandezvsHugo VianaUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · Saturday, January 25, 2014Chicago, Illinois, USA

Official fight result

Hugo Viana won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Hugo Viana wins(64.1%)

Actual result: Hugo Viana wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Hugo Viana at -320 American odds

+$31 profit

$131 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Hugo Viana enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Junior Hernandez
Red Corner
VS
Hugo Viana
Blue Corner
+290
(26%)
Vegas Odds
-320
(76%)
1353
Elo
1355
27
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'6"
175.26 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Junior Hernandez
oldest →
L
SUBvs Lucas Martins · Sep 13
latest
Hugo VianaL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs John Teixeira · Jun 12
W
KOvs Reuben Duran · Dec 12
L
KOvs TJ Dillashaw · Apr 13
L
KOvs Aljamain Sterling · Jul 14
L
vs Guido Cannetti · Aug 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Junior HernandezMetricHugo Viana
—
Strikes / min
3.05
—
Strikes absorbed / min
3.20
—
Strike defense
57%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.22
—
Takedown defense
50%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1484 vs 1515Strikes4.0 vs 32.7Takedowns0.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-1.0 vs 0.1
Junior HernandezHugo Viana

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Junior Hernandez(2 fights)Hugo Viana(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -2.3|Blue +2.3
Recent Form
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score
Red -2.4|Blue +2.4
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -137.0|Blue +137.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Junior Hernandez

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights1

Hugo Viana

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights6