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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Junior Dos Santos won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1393

Elo1369

Junior Dos SantosvsMark HuntUFC Prediction Result

UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · Saturday, May 25, 2013Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Junior Dos Santos won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 4:18

Style matchupJunior Dos Santos: StrikervsMark Hunt: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Junior Dos Santos wins(53.8%)

Actual result: Junior Dos Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Junior Dos Santos at -475 American odds

+$21 profit

$121 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Junior Dos Santos enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Mark Hunt enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Junior Dos Santos is a KO finisher (55% of wins). Mark Hunt has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Mark Hunt is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Junior Dos Santos has lost 88% of fights by KO.
Junior Dos Santos has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Junior Dos Santos has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Junior Dos Santos

Red Corner

Mark Hunt

Blue Corner

-475

(83%)

Vegas Odds

+420

(19%)

1393

Elo

1369

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'4"

Height

5'10"

195.58 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Junior Dos SantosL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Mar 19

KOvs Francis Ngannou · Jun 19

KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Jan 20

KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 20

KOvs Ciryl Gane · Dec 20

latest

Mark HuntL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Alistair Overeem · Mar 17

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jun 17

vs Curtis Blaydes · Feb 18

SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Sep 18

vs Justin Willis · Dec 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Junior Dos SantosMetricMark Hunt

4.49

Strikes / min

2.81

3.33

Strikes absorbed / min

2.90

56%

Strike defense

51%

0.30

TDs / 15 min

0.51

81%

Takedown defense

64%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.16Δ 1.25 — meaningful gap-0.09

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Junior Dos SantosMark Hunt

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Junior Dos Santos(10 fights)Mark Hunt(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +23.6|Blue -23.6

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red +1.8|Blue -1.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +63.0|Blue -63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Junior Dos SantosTargetMark Hunt

By target zone

51% acc · 73%

Head

24% acc · 69%

78% acc · 19%

Body

75% acc · 10%

86% acc · 8%

Leg

50% acc · 21%

By position

56% acc · 88%

Distance

29% acc · 100%

43% acc · 4%

Clinch

86% acc · 8%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Junior Dos Santos rounds

even

Mark Hunt rounds

Round 1Junior Dos Santos edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:02

Knockdowns1

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Junior Dos Santos edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns1

Control1:23

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Junior Dos Santos edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:02

Knockdowns1

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

74 / 131

Sig Strikes

29 / 99

57%

Sig Str %

30.3%

80 / 137

Total Strikes

34 / 105

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:27

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Mark Hunt	5 / 40	5 / 40	0 / 0
1	Junior Dos Santos	20 / 32	20 / 32	0 / 0
2	Mark Hunt	15 / 32	20 / 38	0 / 0
2	Junior Dos Santos	30 / 47	35 / 52	1 / 1
3	Mark Hunt	9 / 27	9 / 27	0 / 0
3	Junior Dos Santos	24 / 52	25 / 53	0 / 0

Junior Dos Santos

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights19

Mark Hunt

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights16