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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Jairzinho Rozenstruik won · KO/TKO

Elo1393

Elo1502

Junior Dos SantosvsJairzinho RozenstruikUFC Prediction Result

UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · Saturday, August 15, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jairzinho Rozenstruik won

KO/TKO

Style matchupJunior Dos Santos: StrikervsJairzinho Rozenstruik: Striker

Two strikers — expect distance work and a kickboxing-style battle.

Model Prediction: Junior Dos Santos wins(55.7%)

Actual result: Jairzinho Rozenstruik wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Junior Dos Santos at +115 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Junior Dos Santos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik is a KO finisher (89% of wins). Junior Dos Santos has lost 88% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Junior Dos Santos

Red Corner

Jairzinho Rozenstruik

Blue Corner

+115

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-143

(59%)

1393

Elo

1502

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'4"

Height

6'2"

195.58 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Junior Dos SantosL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Dec 18

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Mar 19

KOvs Francis Ngannou · Jun 19

KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Jan 20

KOvs Ciryl Gane · Dec 20

latest

Jairzinho Rozenstruik

oldest →

KOvs Chris Daukaus · Dec 22

SUBvs Jailton Almeida · May 23

KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Mar 24

vs Tai Tuivasa · Aug 24

vs Sergei Pavlovich · Feb 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Junior Dos SantosMetricJairzinho Rozenstruik

4.49

Strikes / min

3.48

3.33

Strikes absorbed / min

2.63

56%

Strike defense

52%

0.30

TDs / 15 min

0.00

81%

Takedown defense

72%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.16evenly matched on net striking+0.85

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Junior Dos SantosJairzinho Rozenstruik

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Junior Dos Santos(10 fights)Jairzinho Rozenstruik(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -109.8|Blue +109.8

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red +2.5|Blue -2.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +105.0|Blue -105.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Junior Dos SantosTargetJairzinho Rozenstruik

By target zone

27% acc · 25%

Head

51% acc · 50%

87% acc · 54%

Body

50% acc · 2%

71% acc · 21%

Leg

87% acc · 48%

By position

55% acc · 100%

Distance

61% acc · 71%

Clinch

Ground

71% acc · 29%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Junior Dos Santos rounds

even

Jairzinho Rozenstruik rounds

Round 1Jairzinho Rozenstruik edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Jairzinho Rozenstruik edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

24 / 44

Sig Strikes

42 / 66

54%

Sig Str %

63.5%

24 / 44

Total Strikes

42 / 66

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:09

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	18 / 27	18 / 27	0 / 0
1	Junior Dos Santos	13 / 23	13 / 23	0 / 0
2	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	24 / 39	24 / 39	0 / 0
2	Junior Dos Santos	11 / 21	11 / 21	0 / 0

Junior Dos Santos

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights19

Jairzinho Rozenstruik

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights15