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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Jairzinho Rozenstruik won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1374

Elo1502

Junior AlbinivsJairzinho RozenstruikUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · Saturday, February 2, 2019Fortaleza, Ceara, Brazil

Official fight result

Jairzinho Rozenstruik won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 0:54

Style matchupJunior Albini: Well-roundedvsJairzinho Rozenstruik: Striker

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Junior Albini wins(55.6%)

Actual result: Jairzinho Rozenstruik wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Junior Albini at -145 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Junior Albini enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik is a KO finisher (89% of wins). Junior Albini has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Junior Albini has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Junior Albini

Red Corner

Jairzinho Rozenstruik

Blue Corner

-145

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+125

(44%)

1374

Elo

1502

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'2"

187.96 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Junior AlbiniL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Tim Johnson · Jul 17

vs Andrei Arlovski · Nov 17

SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · May 18

KOvs Maurice Greene · Jun 19

latest

Jairzinho Rozenstruik

oldest →

KOvs Chris Daukaus · Dec 22

SUBvs Jailton Almeida · May 23

KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Mar 24

vs Tai Tuivasa · Aug 24

vs Sergei Pavlovich · Feb 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Junior AlbiniMetricJairzinho Rozenstruik

3.98

Strikes / min

3.48

6.08

Strikes absorbed / min

2.63

52%

Strike defense

52%

1.54

TDs / 15 min

0.00

100%

Takedown defense

72%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.10Δ 2.95 — meaningful gap+0.85

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Junior AlbiniJairzinho Rozenstruik

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Junior Albini(5 fights)Jairzinho Rozenstruik(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -128.6|Blue +128.6

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red -48.7|Blue +48.7

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Junior AlbiniTargetJairzinho Rozenstruik

By target zone

44% acc · 39%

Head

65% acc · 79%

100% acc · 17%

Body

100% acc · 44%

Leg

100% acc · 21%

By position

68% acc · 83%

Distance

53% acc · 47%

50% acc · 6%

Clinch

100% acc · 26%

67% acc · 11%

Ground

100% acc · 26%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Junior Albini rounds

even

Jairzinho Rozenstruik rounds

Round 1Junior Albini edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns2

Control3:06

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

Round 2Jairzinho Rozenstruik edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

18 / 27

Sig Strikes

19 / 27

78.5%

Sig Str %

73%

26 / 35

Total Strikes

26 / 34

2 / 6

TDs

0 / 0

33%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:06

Ctrl Time

0:15

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	9 / 16	16 / 23	0 / 0
1	Junior Albini	12 / 21	20 / 29	2 / 6
2	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	10 / 11	10 / 11	0 / 0
2	Junior Albini	6 / 6	6 / 6	0 / 0

Junior Albini

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights5

Jairzinho Rozenstruik

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights15