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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Mark Eddiva won · U-DEC R3
Elo1354
Jumabieke Tuerxun
Elo1357
Mark Eddiva

Jumabieke TuerxunvsMark EddivaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · Saturday, March 1, 2014Macau, China

Official fight result

Mark Eddiva won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Mark Eddiva wins(51.4%)

Actual result: Mark Eddiva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mark Eddiva at +390 American odds

+$390 profit

$490 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Mark Eddiva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Jumabieke Tuerxun
Red Corner
VS
Mark Eddiva
Blue Corner
-440
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+390
(20%)
1354
Elo
1357
40
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'8"
170.18 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jumabieke TuerxunL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Leandro Issa · Jul 14
L
KOvs Marcus Brimage · Nov 14
latest
Mark EddivaL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Kevin Souza · May 14
L
vs Levan Makashvili · May 15
L
SUBvs Dan Hooker · Mar 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jumabieke TuerxunMetricMark Eddiva
1.60
Strikes / min
3.37
3.08
Strikes absorbed / min
2.98
59%
Strike defense
54%
0.47
TDs / 15 min
1.45
66%
Takedown defense
63%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.48Δ 1.87 — meaningful gap+0.39
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Jumabieke Tuerxun(3 fights)Mark Eddiva(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -2.8|Blue +2.8
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jumabieke TuerxunTargetMark Eddiva

By target zone

6
21% acc · 50%
Head
22
40% acc · 45%
4
100% acc · 33%
Body
11
85% acc · 22%
2
100% acc · 17%
Leg
16
80% acc · 33%

By position

3
21% acc · 25%
Distance
15
33% acc · 31%
7
39% acc · 58%
Clinch
19
76% acc · 39%
2
100% acc · 17%
Ground
15
83% acc · 31%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Jumabieke Tuerxun rounds
0
even
3
Mark Eddiva rounds
Round 1Mark Eddiva edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
21Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:00Control
Round 2Mark Eddiva edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control0:46
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:34Control
Round 3Mark Eddiva edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:05
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:46Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
12 / 34
Sig Strikes
49 / 88
36%
Sig Str %
56%
33 / 60
Total Strikes
141 / 189
1 / 9
TDs
4 / 10
10%
TD %
41.7%
2
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:51
Ctrl Time
10:20

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Mark Eddiva21 / 3054 / 652 / 40
1Jumabieke Tuerxun2 / 87 / 130 / 00
2Mark Eddiva15 / 3545 / 681 / 40
2Jumabieke Tuerxun6 / 187 / 211 / 50
3Mark Eddiva13 / 2342 / 561 / 20
3Jumabieke Tuerxun4 / 819 / 260 / 42

Jumabieke Tuerxun

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach
Fights3

Mark Eddiva

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4