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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Marcus Brimage won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1354
Jumabieke Tuerxun
Elo1355

Jumabieke TuerxunvsMarcus BrimageUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · Friday, November 7, 2014Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Official fight result

Marcus Brimage won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:58

Model Prediction: Marcus Brimage wins(52.6%)

Actual result: Marcus Brimage wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Marcus Brimage at -660 American odds

+$15 profit

$115 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Marcus Brimage enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Marcus Brimage (53.5%).
  • Marcus Brimage has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jumabieke Tuerxun
Red Corner
VS
Marcus Brimage
Blue Corner
+540
(16%)
Vegas Odds
-660
(87%)
1354
Elo
1355
40
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'4"
170.18 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jumabieke TuerxunL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Mark Eddiva · Mar 14
L
SUBvs Leandro Issa · Jul 14
latest
Marcus BrimageL4 streak
oldest →
W
vs Jimy Hettes · Sep 12
L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Apr 13
L
vs Russell Doane · Jul 14
L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jan 15
L
KOvs Jimmie Rivera · Jul 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jumabieke TuerxunMetricMarcus Brimage
1.60
Strikes / min
3.97
3.08
Strikes absorbed / min
3.64
59%
Strike defense
56%
0.47
TDs / 15 min
0.56
66%
Takedown defense
80%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.48Δ 1.81 — meaningful gap+0.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1468 vs 1512Strikes22.5 vs 52.4Takedowns0.5 vs 0.6Sub Atts1.00 vs 0.00Form-1.0 vs -0.6
Jumabieke TuerxunMarcus Brimage

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Jumabieke Tuerxun(3 fights)Marcus Brimage(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red -3.0|Blue +3.0
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jumabieke TuerxunTargetMarcus Brimage

By target zone

1
14% acc · 17%
Head
3
30% acc · 60%
2
100% acc · 33%
Body
0
0% acc
3
50% acc · 50%
Leg
2
40% acc · 40%

By position

6
40% acc · 100%
Distance
4
29% acc · 80%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
1
50% acc · 20%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Jumabieke Tuerxun rounds
0
even
1
Marcus Brimage rounds
Round 1Marcus Brimage edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
6 / 15
Sig Strikes
5 / 16
40%
Sig Str %
31%
6 / 15
Total Strikes
6 / 17
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:02

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Marcus Brimage5 / 166 / 170 / 00
1Jumabieke Tuerxun6 / 156 / 150 / 00

Jumabieke Tuerxun

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach—
Fights3

Marcus Brimage

StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8