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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Leandro Issa won · SUB R3

Elo1354

Elo1358

Jumabieke TuerxunvsLeandro IssaUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · Sunday, July 6, 2014Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Leandro Issa won

SUB · Round 3 · 3:49

Model Prediction: Leandro Issa wins(56.3%)

Actual result: Leandro Issa wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Leandro Issa at -125 American odds

+$80 profit

$180 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Leandro Issa threatens submissions; Jumabieke Tuerxun has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Jumabieke Tuerxun has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jumabieke Tuerxun

Red Corner

Leandro Issa

Blue Corner

+115

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-125

(56%)

1354

Elo

1358

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'7"

170.18 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jumabieke TuerxunL2 streak

oldest →

vs Mark Eddiva · Mar 14

KOvs Marcus Brimage · Nov 14

latest

Leandro IssaL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Russell Doane · Jan 14

SUBvs Ulka Sasaki · Dec 14

vs Iuri Alcantara · Aug 15

vs Taylor Lapilus · Sep 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jumabieke TuerxunMetricLeandro Issa

1.60

Strikes / min

2.08

3.08

Strikes absorbed / min

3.17

59%

Strike defense

58%

0.47

TDs / 15 min

2.38

66%

Takedown defense

50%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

1.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.48evenly matched on net striking-1.09

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jumabieke TuerxunLeandro Issa

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jumabieke Tuerxun(3 fights)Leandro Issa(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -4.1|Blue +4.1

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -56.0|Blue +56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jumabieke TuerxunTargetLeandro Issa

By target zone

22% acc · 73%

Head

20% acc · 52%

33% acc · 15%

Body

57% acc · 9%

80% acc · 12%

Leg

89% acc · 39%

By position

25% acc · 94%

Distance

31% acc · 95%

0% acc

Clinch

100% acc · 6%

Ground

50% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jumabieke Tuerxun rounds

even

Leandro Issa rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:38

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Leandro Issa edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:21

24Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:25Control

Round 3Leandro Issa edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:05

5Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

33 / 127

Sig Strikes

44 / 139

25.3%

Sig Str %

31%

40 / 134

Total Strikes

71 / 170

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 8

—

TD %

40%

Sub Att

Rev

1:04

Ctrl Time

3:25

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Leandro Issa	15 / 62	15 / 62	0 / 2	0
1	Jumabieke Tuerxun	15 / 59	22 / 66	0 / 0	0
2	Leandro Issa	24 / 60	27 / 63	1 / 5	0
2	Jumabieke Tuerxun	16 / 60	16 / 60	0 / 0	0
3	Leandro Issa	5 / 17	29 / 45	1 / 1	3
3	Jumabieke Tuerxun	2 / 8	2 / 8	0 / 0	0

Jumabieke Tuerxun

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach—

Fights3

Leandro Issa

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights5