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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Julio Arce won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1504

Elo1414

Julio ArcevsAndre EwellUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · Saturday, July 24, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Julio Arce won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:45

Style matchupJulio Arce: Well-roundedvsAndre Ewell: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Andre Ewell wins(51.4%)

Actual result: Julio Arce wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Andre Ewell at +180 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Julio Arce has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Julio Arce has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Andre Ewell has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Julio Arce

Red Corner

Andre Ewell

Blue Corner

-220

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+180

(36%)

1504

Elo

1414

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'8"

177.8 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Julio Arce

oldest →

vs Hakeem Dawodu · Nov 19

KOvs Song Yadong · Nov 21

vs Daniel Santos · Apr 22

vs Montel Jackson · Nov 22

KOvs Herbert Burns · Mar 24

latest

Andre EwellL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Marlon Vera · Oct 19

vs Jonathan Martinez · Feb 20

vs Irwin Rivera · Sep 20

vs Chris Gutierrez · Feb 21

vs Charles Jourdain · Dec 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Julio ArceMetricAndre Ewell

4.36

Strikes / min

4.28

3.05

Strikes absorbed / min

4.87

68%

Strike defense

51%

0.46

TDs / 15 min

0.36

96%

Takedown defense

72%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.31Δ 1.90 — meaningful gap-0.59

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Julio ArceAndre Ewell

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Julio Arce(10 fights)Andre Ewell(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +89.9|Blue -89.9

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +1.7|Blue -1.7

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +469.0|Blue -469.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Julio ArceTargetAndre Ewell

By target zone

31% acc · 64%

Head

16% acc · 32%

40% acc · 14%

Body

56% acc · 32%

90% acc · 21%

Leg

69% acc · 35%

By position

37% acc · 100%

Distance

32% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Julio Arce rounds

even

Andre Ewell rounds

Round 1Julio Arce edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:24

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Julio Arce edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

42 / 113

Sig Strikes

31 / 97

36.5%

Sig Str %

32%

44 / 115

Total Strikes

31 / 98

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:24

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Andre Ewell	13 / 50	13 / 51	0 / 0
1	Julio Arce	18 / 53	20 / 55	0 / 0
2	Andre Ewell	18 / 47	18 / 47	0 / 0
2	Julio Arce	24 / 60	24 / 60	0 / 0

Julio Arce

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights10

Andre Ewell

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights9