Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Germaine de Randamie won · S-DEC R3

Elo1353

Elo1497

Julie KedzievsGermaine de RandamieUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · Saturday, July 27, 2013Seattle, Washington, USA

Official fight result

Germaine de Randamie won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJulie Kedzie: Well-roundedvsGermaine de Randamie: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Germaine de Randamie wins(52.6%)

Actual result: Germaine de Randamie wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Germaine de Randamie at -185 American odds

+$54 profit

$154 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Germaine de Randamie has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Germaine de Randamie has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Julie Kedzie

Red Corner

Germaine de Randamie

Blue Corner

+170

(37%)

Vegas Odds

-185

(65%)

1353

Elo

1497

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'9"

162.56 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Julie Kedzie

oldest →

vs Bethe Correia · Dec 13

latest

Germaine de Randamie

oldest →

vs Holly Holm · Feb 17

vs Raquel Pennington · Nov 18

vs Amanda Nunes · Dec 19

SUBvs Julianna Pena · Oct 20

vs Norma Dumont · Apr 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Julie KedzieMetricGermaine de Randamie

2.90

Strikes / min

2.57

3.18

Strikes absorbed / min

2.00

46%

Strike defense

65%

1.14

TDs / 15 min

0.00

78%

Takedown defense

65%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.28evenly matched on net striking+0.57

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Julie Kedzie(2 fights)Germaine de Randamie(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -144.6|Blue +144.6

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Julie KedzieTargetGermaine de Randamie

By target zone

11% acc · 21%

Head

23% acc · 18%

100% acc · 39%

Body

100% acc · 48%

100% acc · 39%

Leg

94% acc · 34%

By position

30% acc · 71%

Distance

36% acc · 32%

89% acc · 29%

Clinch

92% acc · 68%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Julie Kedzie rounds

even

Germaine de Randamie rounds

Round 1Germaine de Randamie edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:39

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:54Control

Round 2Julie Kedzie edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control2:58

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Germaine de Randamie edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control1:16

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:58Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

28 / 76

Sig Strikes

50 / 82

37.7%

Sig Str %

56.7%

73 / 127

Total Strikes

82 / 115

2 / 9

TDs

0 / 0

40%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:53

Ctrl Time

3:52

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Germaine de Randamie	25 / 32	33 / 40	0 / 0
1	Julie Kedzie	13 / 22	25 / 34	0 / 3
2	Germaine de Randamie	6 / 16	11 / 22	0 / 0
2	Julie Kedzie	8 / 27	29 / 48	1 / 1
3	Germaine de Randamie	19 / 34	38 / 53	0 / 0
3	Julie Kedzie	7 / 27	19 / 45	1 / 5

Julie Kedzie

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach—

Fights2

Germaine de Randamie

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9