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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Bethe Correia won · S-DEC R3

Elo1353

Elo1409

Julie KedzievsBethe CorreiaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · Friday, December 6, 2013Brisbane, Queensland, Australia

Official fight result

Bethe Correia won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJulie Kedzie: Well-roundedvsBethe Correia: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Julie Kedzie wins(66.3%)

Actual result: Bethe Correia wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Julie Kedzie at -170 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Bethe Correia has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Julie Kedzie

Red Corner

Bethe Correia

Blue Corner

-170

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+160

(38%)

1353

Elo

1409

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'5"

162.56 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Julie Kedzie

oldest →

vs Germaine de Randamie · Jul 13

latest

Bethe CorreiaL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Holly Holm · Jun 17

SUBvs Irene Aldana · May 19

vs Sijara Eubanks · Sep 19

vs Pannie Kianzad · Jul 20

vs Karol Rosa · Oct 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Julie KedzieMetricBethe Correia

2.90

Strikes / min

4.37

3.18

Strikes absorbed / min

4.93

46%

Strike defense

56%

1.14

TDs / 15 min

0.39

78%

Takedown defense

85%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.28evenly matched on net striking-0.56

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Julie KedzieBethe Correia

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Julie Kedzie(2 fights)Bethe Correia(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -56.2|Blue +56.2

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Julie KedzieTargetBethe Correia

By target zone

20% acc · 57%

Head

39% acc · 43%

75% acc · 33%

Body

67% acc · 18%

83% acc · 9%

Leg

86% acc · 38%

By position

26% acc · 85%

Distance

52% acc · 88%

73% acc · 15%

Clinch

89% acc · 12%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Julie Kedzie rounds

even

Bethe Correia rounds

Round 1Bethe Correia edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:00

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:52Control

Round 2Julie Kedzie edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:15Control

Round 3Bethe Correia edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:04

24Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:07Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

54 / 186

Sig Strikes

65 / 118

28.7%

Sig Str %

54.7%

81 / 214

Total Strikes

84 / 138

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 4

—

TD %

16.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:04

Ctrl Time

3:14

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Bethe Correia	24 / 36	31 / 44	0 / 1
1	Julie Kedzie	11 / 52	25 / 66	0 / 0
2	Bethe Correia	17 / 37	23 / 43	0 / 1
2	Julie Kedzie	27 / 62	31 / 66	0 / 0
3	Bethe Correia	24 / 45	30 / 51	1 / 2
3	Julie Kedzie	16 / 72	25 / 82	0 / 0

Julie Kedzie

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach—

Fights2

Bethe Correia

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights11