Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Julianna Pena won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1496
Julianna Pena
Elo1358

Julianna PenavsMilana DudievaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · Saturday, April 4, 2015Fairfax, Virginia, USA

Official fight result

Julianna Pena won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:59

Model Prediction: Julianna Pena wins(70.2%)

Actual result: Julianna Pena wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Julianna Pena at -400 American odds

+$25 profit

$125 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Julianna Pena has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Julianna Pena has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Julianna Pena
Red Corner
VS
Milana Dudieva
Blue Corner
-400
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+325
(24%)
1496
Elo
1358
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'3"
175.26 cm
Reach
154.94 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Julianna Pena
oldest →
W
SUBvs Sara McMann · Jan 21
W
SUBvs Amanda Nunes · Dec 21
L
vs Amanda Nunes · Jul 22
W
vs Raquel Pennington · Oct 24
L
SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Jun 25
latest
Milana Dudieva
oldest →
W
vs Elizabeth Phillips · Aug 14
L
KOvs Marion Reneau · Nov 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Julianna PenaMetricMilana Dudieva
3.10
Strikes / min
0.87
2.56
Strikes absorbed / min
3.43
57%
Strike defense
58%
1.70
TDs / 15 min
2.34
24%
Takedown defense
0%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.54Δ 3.10 — meaningful gap-2.56

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1516 vs 1515Strikes33.0 vs 11.0Takedowns2.0 vs 2.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs 1.0
Julianna PenaMilana Dudieva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Julianna Pena(10 fights)Milana Dudieva(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +137.8|Blue -137.8
Recent Form
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +266.0|Blue -266.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Julianna PenaTargetMilana Dudieva

By target zone

32
49% acc · 86%
Head
0
0% acc
0
0% acc
Body
0
5
83% acc · 14%
Leg
0

By position

0
0% acc
Distance
0
0% acc
5
63% acc · 14%
Clinch
0
32
54% acc · 86%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Julianna Pena rounds
0
even
0
Milana Dudieva rounds
Round 1Julianna Pena edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns1
Control2:55
0Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:43Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
37 / 73
Sig Strikes
0 / 5
50%
Sig Str %
0%
65 / 115
Total Strikes
10 / 24
1 / 1
TDs
1 / 2
100%
TD %
50%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
2:55
Ctrl Time
0:43

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Milana Dudieva0 / 510 / 241 / 20
1Julianna Pena37 / 7365 / 1151 / 10

Julianna Pena

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights12

Milana Dudieva

StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach—
Fights3