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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Luana Santos won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1487

Elo1550

Juliana MillervsLuana SantosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · Saturday, August 12, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Luana Santos won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:41

Style matchupJuliana Miller: WrestlervsLuana Santos: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Luana Santos wins(51.8%)

Actual result: Luana Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Luana Santos at -148 American odds

+$68 profit

$168 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Luana Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Luana Santos has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Luana Santos has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Juliana Miller

Red Corner

Luana Santos

Blue Corner

+124

(45%)

Vegas Odds

-148

(60%)

1487

Elo

1550

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'6"

167.64 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Juliana Miller

oldest →

KOvs Brogan Walker · Aug 22

vs Veronica Hardy · Mar 23

vs Ivana Petrovic · May 25

vs Carli Judice · Feb 26

latest

Luana SantosW3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Mariya Agapova · Jul 24

vs Casey O'Neill · Aug 24

SUBvs Tainara Lisboa · May 25

vs Melissa Croden · Dec 25

DECvs Karol Rosa · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Juliana MillerMetricLuana Santos

2.65

Strikes / min

2.99

4.14

Strikes absorbed / min

2.93

44%

Strike defense

63%

2.16

TDs / 15 min

2.17

44%

Takedown defense

85%

1.20

Sub atts / 15 min

1.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.49Δ 1.55 — meaningful gap+0.06

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Juliana MillerLuana Santos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Juliana Miller(5 fights)Luana Santos(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -63.0|Blue +63.0

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Grappler Score

Red -49.3|Blue +49.3

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Juliana MillerTargetLuana Santos

By target zone

25% acc · 63%

Head

54% acc · 70%

69% acc · 38%

Body

80% acc · 25%

0% acc

Leg

100% acc · 5%

By position

28% acc · 75%

Distance

60% acc · 84%

55% acc · 25%

Clinch

59% acc · 16%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Juliana Miller rounds

even

Luana Santos rounds

Round 1Luana Santos edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:29

63Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:26Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

24 / 75

Sig Strikes

63 / 105

32%

Sig Str %

60%

25 / 77

Total Strikes

64 / 106

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:29

Ctrl Time

0:26

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Luana Santos	63 / 105	64 / 106	0 / 0	0
1	Juliana Miller	24 / 75	25 / 77	0 / 2	0

Juliana Miller

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights5

Luana Santos

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights7