Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Juliana Miller won · U-DEC R3

Elo1487

Elo1486

Juliana MillervsIvana PetrovicUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · Saturday, May 3, 2025Des Moines, Iowa, USA

Official fight result

Juliana Miller won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJuliana Miller: WrestlervsIvana Petrovic: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Juliana Miller wins(63.8%)

Actual result: Juliana Miller wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Juliana Miller at +194 American odds

+$194 profit

$294 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Juliana Miller enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Ivana Petrovic has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Ivana Petrovic has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Ivana Petrovic (53.5%).
Ivana Petrovic has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Juliana Miller

Red Corner

Ivana Petrovic

Blue Corner

+194

(34%)

Vegas Odds

-240

(71%)

1487

Elo

1486

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'8"

167.64 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Juliana MillerL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Brogan Walker · Aug 22

vs Veronica Hardy · Mar 23

KOvs Luana Santos · Aug 23

vs Carli Judice · Feb 26

latest

Ivana Petrovic

oldest →

vs Luana Carolina · Jul 23

SUBvs Liang Na · Apr 24

vs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Nov 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Juliana MillerMetricIvana Petrovic

2.65

Strikes / min

1.91

4.14

Strikes absorbed / min

2.05

44%

Strike defense

56%

2.16

TDs / 15 min

2.12

44%

Takedown defense

61%

1.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.49Δ 1.35 — meaningful gap-0.14

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Juliana MillerIvana Petrovic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Juliana Miller(5 fights)Ivana Petrovic(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.7|Blue -1.7

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +448.0|Blue -448.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Juliana MillerTargetIvana Petrovic

By target zone

27% acc · 50%

Head

24% acc · 32%

73% acc · 36%

Body

75% acc · 36%

100% acc · 14%

Leg

100% acc · 32%

By position

35% acc · 73%

Distance

47% acc · 100%

33% acc · 5%

Clinch

83% acc · 23%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Juliana Miller rounds

even

Ivana Petrovic rounds

Round 1Ivana Petrovic edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control2:04

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:48Control

Round 2Juliana Miller edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns2

Control3:33

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:27Control

Round 3Juliana Miller edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns1

Control2:33

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:32Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

22 / 55

Sig Strikes

25 / 53

37.3%

Sig Str %

48%

54 / 101

Total Strikes

57 / 87

3 / 9

TDs

1 / 5

40%

TD %

11%

Sub Att

Rev

8:10

Ctrl Time

2:47

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ivana Petrovic	7 / 12	32 / 39	1 / 3
1	Juliana Miller	4 / 12	11 / 20	0 / 2
2	Ivana Petrovic	6 / 15	8 / 17	0 / 1
2	Juliana Miller	4 / 11	24 / 38	2 / 2
3	Ivana Petrovic	12 / 26	17 / 31	0 / 1
3	Juliana Miller	14 / 32	19 / 43	1 / 5

Juliana Miller

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights5

Ivana Petrovic

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4