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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Joanna Jedrzejczyk won · U-DEC R3
Elo1364
Juliana Lima
Elo1427

Juliana LimavsJoanna JedrzejczykUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · Saturday, July 26, 2014San Jose, California, USA

Official fight result

Joanna Jedrzejczyk won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Juliana Lima wins(51.4%)

Actual result: Joanna Jedrzejczyk wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Juliana Lima at +285 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Juliana Lima
Red Corner
VS
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
Blue Corner
+285
(26%)
Vegas Odds
-315
(76%)
1364
Elo
1427
44
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'6"
165.1 cm
Reach
165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Juliana LimaL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Ericka Almeida · May 15
L
vs Carla Esparza · Apr 16
W
vs JJ Aldrich · Dec 16
L
SUBvs Tecia Torres · Jul 17
L
vs Randa Markos · Jan 18
latest
Joanna JedrzejczykL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Tecia Torres · Jul 18
L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Dec 18
W
vs Michelle Waterson · Oct 19
L
vs Weili Zhang · Mar 20
L
KOvs Zhang Weili · Jun 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Juliana LimaMetricJoanna Jedrzejczyk
1.94
Strikes / min
6.28
2.11
Strikes absorbed / min
3.25
55%
Strike defense
62%
1.72
TDs / 15 min
0.27
70%
Takedown defense
80%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.17Δ 3.20 — meaningful gap+3.03
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Juliana Lima(7 fights)Joanna Jedrzejczyk(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -63.8|Blue +63.8
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Juliana LimaTargetJoanna Jedrzejczyk

By target zone

8
14% acc · 44%
Head
24
19% acc · 52%
3
60% acc · 17%
Body
21
58% acc · 46%
7
44% acc · 39%
Leg
1
25% acc · 2%

By position

13
19% acc · 72%
Distance
34
22% acc · 74%
3
60% acc · 17%
Clinch
12
75% acc · 26%
2
67% acc · 11%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Juliana Lima rounds
1
even
1
Joanna Jedrzejczyk rounds
Round 1Juliana Lima edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control3:00
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Joanna Jedrzejczyk edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control1:17
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns1
Control1:53
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
18 / 77
Sig Strikes
46 / 168
23%
Sig Str %
26%
38 / 103
Total Strikes
55 / 180
1 / 14
TDs
0 / 0
11%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
6:10
Ctrl Time
0:09

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Joanna Jedrzejczyk9 / 3613 / 410 / 00
1Juliana Lima6 / 2314 / 350 / 70
2Joanna Jedrzejczyk26 / 7829 / 830 / 00
2Juliana Lima8 / 2914 / 360 / 40
3Joanna Jedrzejczyk11 / 5413 / 560 / 00
3Juliana Lima4 / 2510 / 321 / 30

Juliana Lima

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights7

Joanna Jedrzejczyk

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights15