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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Juliana Lima won · U-DEC R3
Elo1364
Juliana Lima
Elo1522
JJ Aldrich

Juliana LimavsJJ AldrichUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · Friday, December 9, 2016Albany, New York, USA

Official fight result

Juliana Lima won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Juliana Lima wins(67.2%)

Actual result: Juliana Lima wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Juliana Lima at -230 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Juliana Lima enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors JJ Aldrich (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Juliana Lima
Red Corner
VS
JJ Aldrich
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
1364
Elo
1522
44
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'5"
Height
5'5"
165.1 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Juliana LimaL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Nina Ansaroff · Nov 14
W
vs Ericka Almeida · May 15
L
vs Carla Esparza · Apr 16
L
SUBvs Tecia Torres · Jul 17
L
vs Randa Markos · Jan 18
latest
JJ AldrichW2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Liang Na · Aug 23
W
vs Montana De La Rosa · Oct 23
L
vs Veronica Hardy · May 24
W
vs Andrea Lee · Mar 25
W
DECvs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Apr 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Juliana LimaMetricJJ Aldrich
1.94
Strikes / min
3.92
2.11
Strikes absorbed / min
4.34
55%
Strike defense
61%
1.72
TDs / 15 min
0.70
70%
Takedown defense
67%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.17evenly matched on net striking-0.42

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes26.5 vs Takedowns1.3 vs Sub Atts0.00 vs Form-0.3 vs 0.0
Juliana LimaJJ Aldrich

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Juliana Lima(7 fights)JJ Aldrich(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -158.1|Blue +158.1
Recent Form
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score
Red -48.9|Blue +48.9
Grappler Score
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Juliana LimaTargetJJ Aldrich

By target zone

22
27% acc · 39%
Head
13
22% acc · 42%
20
87% acc · 36%
Body
18
82% acc · 58%
14
70% acc · 25%
Leg
0

By position

24
28% acc · 43%
Distance
8
16% acc · 26%
24
86% acc · 43%
Clinch
19
76% acc · 61%
8
89% acc · 14%
Ground
4
80% acc · 13%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Juliana Lima rounds
0
even
0
JJ Aldrich rounds
Round 1Juliana Lima edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control2:44
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 2Juliana Lima edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns2
Control2:32
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:30Control
Round 3Juliana Lima edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns1
Control1:48
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
56 / 124
Sig Strikes
31 / 81
44.7%
Sig Str %
39%
90 / 161
Total Strikes
111 / 161
4 / 6
TDs
0 / 0
72%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
7:04
Ctrl Time
0:47

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1JJ Aldrich7 / 1627 / 360 / 00
1Juliana Lima17 / 3332 / 501 / 20
2JJ Aldrich15 / 3149 / 650 / 00
2Juliana Lima13 / 3425 / 472 / 30
3JJ Aldrich9 / 3435 / 600 / 00
3Juliana Lima26 / 5733 / 641 / 10

Juliana Lima

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights7

JJ Aldrich

StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights16