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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Juliana Lima won · U-DEC R3

Elo1364

Elo1356

Juliana LimavsEricka AlmeidaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · Saturday, May 30, 2015Goiania, Goias, Brazil

Official fight result

Juliana Lima won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Juliana Lima wins(68.1%)

Actual result: Juliana Lima wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Juliana Lima at -170 American odds

+$59 profit

$159 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Juliana Lima has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Juliana Lima has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Juliana Lima

Red Corner

Ericka Almeida

Blue Corner

-170

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+150

(40%)

1364

Elo

1356

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'6"

165.1 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Juliana LimaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Nina Ansaroff · Nov 14

vs Carla Esparza · Apr 16

vs JJ Aldrich · Dec 16

SUBvs Tecia Torres · Jul 17

vs Randa Markos · Jan 18

latest

Ericka Almeida

oldest →

vs Aisling Daly · Oct 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Juliana LimaMetricEricka Almeida

1.94

Strikes / min

1.07

2.11

Strikes absorbed / min

3.33

55%

Strike defense

43%

1.72

TDs / 15 min

0.50

70%

Takedown defense

37%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.17Δ 2.09 — meaningful gap-2.26

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Juliana LimaEricka Almeida

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Juliana Lima(7 fights)Ericka Almeida(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +8.1|Blue -8.1

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -49.4|Blue +49.4

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Juliana LimaTargetEricka Almeida

By target zone

44% acc · 59%

Head

31% acc · 85%

100% acc · 12%

Body

100% acc · 8%

92% acc · 29%

Leg

100% acc · 8%

By position

54% acc · 51%

Distance

34% acc · 92%

73% acc · 20%

Clinch

100% acc · 8%

55% acc · 29%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Juliana Lima rounds

even

Ericka Almeida rounds

Round 1Juliana Lima edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control3:52

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:33Control

Round 2Juliana Lima edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns2

Control4:29

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Juliana Lima edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns1

Control1:32

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

41 / 72

Sig Strikes

13 / 37

57%

Sig Str %

55.3%

119 / 162

Total Strikes

32 / 58

3 / 3

TDs

0 / 2

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

9:53

Ctrl Time

0:33

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ericka Almeida	1 / 1	10 / 10	0 / 1
1	Juliana Lima	7 / 12	34 / 41	0 / 0
2	Ericka Almeida	1 / 3	8 / 12	0 / 1
2	Juliana Lima	14 / 24	47 / 62	2 / 2
3	Ericka Almeida	11 / 33	14 / 36	0 / 0
3	Juliana Lima	20 / 36	38 / 59	1 / 1

Juliana Lima

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights7

Ericka Almeida

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach—

Fights2