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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Zachary Reese won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1481

Elo1510

Julian MarquezvsZachary ReeseUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Saturday, June 8, 2024Louisville, Kentucky, USA

Official fight result

Zachary Reese won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:20

Model Prediction: Zachary Reese wins(72.6%)

Actual result: Zachary Reese wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Zachary Reese at +114 American odds

+$114 profit

$214 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Julian Marquez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Zachary Reese is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Julian Marquez has lost 80% of fights by KO.
Stance matchup historically favors Zachary Reese (52.9%).
Zachary Reese has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Julian Marquez

Red Corner

Zachary Reese

Blue Corner

-145

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+114

(47%)

1481

Elo

1510

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

6'2"

Height

6'4"

182.88 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Julian MarquezL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Maki Pitolo · Feb 21

SUBvs Sam Alvey · Apr 21

KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Jun 22

KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Mar 23

KOvs Cody Brundage · Mar 25

latest

Zachary Reese

oldest →

KOvs Cody Brundage · Dec 23

vs Jose Daniel Medina · Aug 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Julian MarquezMetricZachary Reese

5.06

Strikes / min

—

5.35

Strikes absorbed / min

—

50%

Strike defense

—

0.00

TDs / 15 min

—

54%

Takedown defense

—

2.60

Sub atts / 15 min

—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Julian MarquezZachary Reese

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Julian Marquez(8 fights)Zachary Reese(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -29.0|Blue +29.0

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Layoff

Red +273.0|Blue -273.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Julian Marquez

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights8

Zachary Reese

StanceSwitch

Height76.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights2