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Featherweight
3 Rounds
SeungWoo Choi won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1495
Julian Erosa
Elo1487

Julian ErosavsSeungWoo ChoiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · Saturday, June 19, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

SeungWoo Choi won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:37

Style matchupJulian Erosa: Pressure fightervsSeungWoo Choi: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: SeungWoo Choi wins(53.4%)

Actual result: SeungWoo Choi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

SeungWoo Choi at -150 American odds

+$67 profit

$167 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Julian Erosa (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Julian Erosa
Red Corner
VS
SeungWoo Choi
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
1495
Elo
1487
37
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Julian ErosaL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Ricardo Ramos · Mar 24
W
SUBvs Christian Rodriguez · Jul 24
W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Apr 25
L
vs Melquizael Costa · May 25
L
KOvs Lerryan Douglas · Mar 26
latest
SeungWoo ChoiL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Josh Culibao · Jun 22
L
KOvs Michael Trizano · Nov 22
W
vs Jarno Errens · Aug 23
L
KOvs Steve Garcia · Jul 24
L
KOvs Kevin Vallejos · Mar 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Julian ErosaMetricSeungWoo Choi
6.18
Strikes / min
3.56
6.31
Strikes absorbed / min
3.16
48%
Strike defense
47%
1.73
TDs / 15 min
0.83
61%
Takedown defense
70%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.13evenly matched on net striking+0.40

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1490 vs 1517Strikes5.1 vs 3.3Takedowns1.3 vs 1.0Sub Atts0.90 vs 0.00Form0.6 vs 1.0
Julian ErosaSeungWoo Choi

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701485150015151530← oldermost recent →
Julian Erosa(10 fights)SeungWoo Choi(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +7.4|Blue -7.4
Recent Form
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Julian ErosaTargetSeungWoo Choi

By target zone

5
36% acc · 50%
Head
10
40% acc · 77%
2
67% acc · 20%
Body
2
100% acc · 15%
3
100% acc · 30%
Leg
1
50% acc · 8%

By position

10
50% acc · 100%
Distance
7
32% acc · 54%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
6
86% acc · 46%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Julian Erosa rounds
0
even
1
SeungWoo Choi rounds
Round 1SeungWoo Choi edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
10 / 20
Sig Strikes
13 / 29
50%
Sig Str %
44%
10 / 20
Total Strikes
14 / 30
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:03

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1SeungWoo Choi13 / 2914 / 300 / 00
1Julian Erosa10 / 2010 / 200 / 00

Julian Erosa

StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights18

SeungWoo Choi

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights8