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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Julia Avila won · SUB R3

Elo1490

Elo1487

Julia AvilavsJulija StoliarenkoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · Saturday, June 26, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Julia Avila won

SUB · Round 3 · 4:19

Model Prediction: Julia Avila wins(53.5%)

Actual result: Julia Avila wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Julia Avila at -375 American odds

+$27 profit

$127 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Julia Avila enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Julija Stoliarenko threatens submissions; Julia Avila has lost 33% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Julia Avila

Red Corner

Julija Stoliarenko

Blue Corner

-375

(79%)

Vegas Odds

+275

(27%)

1490

Elo

1487

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'7"

172.72 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Julia AvilaL3 streak

oldest →

vs Pannie Kianzad · Jul 19

KOvs Gina Mazany · Jun 20

vs Sijara Eubanks · Sep 20

SUBvs Miesha Tate · Dec 23

vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · Feb 25

latest

Julija StoliarenkoL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jessica-Rose Clark · Jul 22

KOvs Chelsea Chandler · Oct 22

SUBvs Molly McCann · Jul 23

KOvs Luana Carolina · Feb 24

vs Gabriella Fernandes · Aug 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Julia AvilaMetricJulija Stoliarenko

2.81

Strikes / min

2.74

3.28

Strikes absorbed / min

4.45

55%

Strike defense

46%

0.63

TDs / 15 min

0.78

52%

Takedown defense

54%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

1.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.47Δ 1.24 — meaningful gap-1.71

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Julia AvilaJulija Stoliarenko

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Julia Avila(6 fights)Julija Stoliarenko(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +2.8|Blue -2.8

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -35.0|Blue +35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Julia AvilaTargetJulija Stoliarenko

By target zone

43% acc · 65%

Head

37% acc · 68%

85% acc · 23%

Body

56% acc · 13%

100% acc · 13%

Leg

67% acc · 20%

By position

50% acc · 88%

Distance

42% acc · 93%

67% acc · 4%

Clinch

60% acc · 8%

100% acc · 8%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Julia Avila rounds

even

Julija Stoliarenko rounds

Round 1Julia Avila edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:00

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:28

10Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:34Control

Round 3Julia Avila edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns1

Control3:03

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:58Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

48 / 91

Sig Strikes

40 / 94

57.3%

Sig Str %

47.3%

107 / 163

Total Strikes

60 / 115

1 / 4

TDs

1 / 3

25%

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

3:31

Ctrl Time

3:32

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Julija Stoliarenko	27 / 65	27 / 65	0 / 1	0
1	Julia Avila	29 / 58	29 / 58	0 / 0	0
2	Julija Stoliarenko	10 / 24	21 / 35	1 / 2	0
2	Julia Avila	17 / 30	42 / 59	0 / 2	0
3	Julija Stoliarenko	3 / 5	12 / 15	0 / 0	0
3	Julia Avila	2 / 3	36 / 46	1 / 2	1

Julia Avila

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights6

Julija Stoliarenko

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights9