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Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Julia Avila won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1490
Julia Avila
Elo1423
Gina Mazany

Julia AvilavsGina MazanyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · Saturday, June 13, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Julia Avila won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:22

Model Prediction: Julia Avila wins(56.6%)

Actual result: Julia Avila wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Julia Avila at -575 American odds

+$17 profit

$117 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Julia Avila has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Gina Mazany (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Julia Avila
Red Corner
VS
Gina Mazany
Blue Corner
-575
(85%)
Vegas Odds
+485
(17%)
1490
Elo
1423
38
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'6"
172.72 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Julia AvilaL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Pannie Kianzad · Jul 19
L
vs Sijara Eubanks · Sep 20
W
SUBvs Julija Stoliarenko · Jun 21
L
SUBvs Miesha Tate · Dec 23
L
vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · Feb 25
latest
Gina MazanyL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Lina Lansberg · May 18
L
KOvs Macy Chiasson · Mar 19
W
KOvs Rachael Ostovich · Nov 20
L
KOvs Priscila Cachoeira · May 21
L
KOvs Shanna Young · Apr 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Julia AvilaMetricGina Mazany
2.81
Strikes / min
3.73
3.28
Strikes absorbed / min
3.52
55%
Strike defense
50%
0.63
TDs / 15 min
4.34
52%
Takedown defense
33%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.47evenly matched on net striking+0.21

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1515 vs 1470Strikes3.3 vs 2.7Takedowns0.0 vs 3.2Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs -0.7
Julia AvilaGina Mazany

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Julia Avila(6 fights)Gina Mazany(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +66.7|Blue -66.7
Recent Form
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Striker Score
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red -126.0|Blue +126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Julia AvilaTargetGina Mazany

By target zone

10
53% acc · 91%
Head
2
50% acc · 100%
1
100% acc · 9%
Body
0
0
Leg
0

By position

1
17% acc · 9%
Distance
1
33% acc · 50%
10
71% acc · 91%
Clinch
1
100% acc · 50%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Julia Avila rounds
0
even
0
Gina Mazany rounds
Round 1Julia Avila edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:05
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
11 / 20
Sig Strikes
2 / 4
55%
Sig Str %
50%
11 / 22
Total Strikes
2 / 4
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 1
—
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:05
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Gina Mazany2 / 42 / 40 / 10
1Julia Avila11 / 2011 / 220 / 00

Julia Avila

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6

Gina Mazany

StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights8