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Women's Featherweight

3 Rounds

Josiane Nunes won · U-DEC R3

Elo1483

Elo1438

Josiane NunesvsRamona PascualUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · Saturday, February 26, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Josiane Nunes won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJosiane Nunes: Pressure fightervsRamona Pascual: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Josiane Nunes wins(67.6%)

Actual result: Josiane Nunes wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Josiane Nunes at -305 American odds

+$33 profit

$133 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Josiane Nunes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Ramona Pascual has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Josiane Nunes

Red Corner

Ramona Pascual

Blue Corner

-305

(75%)

Vegas Odds

+240

(29%)

1483

Elo

1438

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'2"

Height

5'7"

170.18 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Josiane NunesL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Bea Malecki · Aug 21

vs Zarah Fairn · Jan 23

vs Chelsea Chandler · Mar 24

vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · Aug 24

KOvs Priscila Cachoeira · Mar 25

latest

Ramona PascualL2 streak

oldest →

vs Joselyne Edwards · Jun 22

KOvs Tamires Vidal · Nov 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Josiane NunesMetricRamona Pascual

5.65

Strikes / min

3.87

5.76

Strikes absorbed / min

8.43

51%

Strike defense

46%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

1.81

58%

Takedown defense

100%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.11Δ 4.45 — meaningful gap-4.56

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Josiane NunesRamona Pascual

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Josiane Nunes(6 fights)Ramona Pascual(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +45.0|Blue -45.0

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -49.2|Blue +49.2

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Josiane NunesTargetRamona Pascual

By target zone

40% acc · 85%

Head

35% acc · 48%

83% acc · 5%

Body

91% acc · 38%

91% acc · 10%

Leg

100% acc · 13%

By position

41% acc · 81%

Distance

48% acc · 83%

71% acc · 12%

Clinch

100% acc · 12%

54% acc · 7%

Ground

60% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Josiane Nunes rounds

even

Ramona Pascual rounds

Round 1Josiane Nunes edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control0:03

Knockdowns1

25Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:28Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Josiane Nunes edged it

Sig. strikes39

Takedowns0

Control0:40

Knockdowns1

9Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Josiane Nunes edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:13Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

98 / 222

Sig Strikes

52 / 100

44.7%

Sig Str %

51%

119 / 245

Total Strikes

71 / 121

0 / 0

TDs

3 / 10

—

TD %

48.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:43

Ctrl Time

3:41

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ramona Pascual	25 / 44	30 / 49	1 / 1
1	Josiane Nunes	28 / 73	37 / 83	0 / 0
2	Ramona Pascual	9 / 18	20 / 31	1 / 4
2	Josiane Nunes	39 / 65	51 / 78	0 / 0
3	Ramona Pascual	18 / 38	21 / 41	1 / 5
3	Josiane Nunes	31 / 84	31 / 84	0 / 0

Josiane Nunes

StanceSouthpaw

Height62.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights6

Ramona Pascual

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights3