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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Priscila Cachoeira won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1483

Elo1459

Josiane NunesvsPriscila CachoeiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · Saturday, March 15, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Priscila Cachoeira won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:46

Style matchupJosiane Nunes: Pressure fightervsPriscila Cachoeira: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Josiane Nunes wins(65.5%)

Actual result: Priscila Cachoeira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Josiane Nunes at -174 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Priscila Cachoeira enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Josiane Nunes (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Josiane Nunes

Red Corner

Priscila Cachoeira

Blue Corner

-174

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+146

(41%)

1483

Elo

1459

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'2"

Height

5'7"

170.18 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Josiane NunesL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Bea Malecki · Aug 21

vs Ramona Pascual · Feb 22

vs Zarah Fairn · Jan 23

vs Chelsea Chandler · Mar 24

vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · Aug 24

latest

Priscila CachoeiraL5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Miranda Maverick · Jul 23

SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Jan 24

KOvs Joselyne Edwards · Aug 25

vs Klaudia Sygula · Feb 26

SUBvs Chelsea Chandler · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Josiane NunesMetricPriscila Cachoeira

5.65

Strikes / min

4.43

5.76

Strikes absorbed / min

7.60

51%

Strike defense

45%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.25

58%

Takedown defense

69%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.11Δ 3.06 — meaningful gap-3.17

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Josiane NunesPriscila Cachoeira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Josiane Nunes(6 fights)Priscila Cachoeira(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +23.8|Blue -23.8

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -217.0|Blue +217.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Josiane NunesTargetPriscila Cachoeira

By target zone

35% acc · 55%

Head

44% acc · 84%

64% acc · 23%

Body

100% acc · 11%

100% acc · 23%

Leg

100% acc · 5%

By position

46% acc · 100%

Distance

49% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Josiane Nunes rounds

even

Priscila Cachoeira rounds

Round 1Priscila Cachoeira edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

37Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

31 / 67

Sig Strikes

37 / 76

46%

Sig Str %

48%

31 / 67

Total Strikes

39 / 78

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Priscila Cachoeira	37 / 76	39 / 78	0 / 0	0
1	Josiane Nunes	31 / 67	31 / 67	0 / 1	0

Josiane Nunes

StanceSouthpaw

Height62.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights6

Priscila Cachoeira

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights14