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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Chelsea Chandler won · U-DEC R3

Elo1483

Elo1502

Josiane NunesvsChelsea ChandlerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Saturday, March 16, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Chelsea Chandler won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Josiane Nunes wins(63.4%)

Actual result: Chelsea Chandler wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Josiane Nunes has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Josiane Nunes has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Josiane Nunes

Red Corner

Chelsea Chandler

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1483

Elo

1502

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'2"

Height

5'8"

170.18 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Josiane NunesL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Bea Malecki · Aug 21

vs Ramona Pascual · Feb 22

vs Zarah Fairn · Jan 23

vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · Aug 24

KOvs Priscila Cachoeira · Mar 25

latest

Chelsea Chandler

oldest →

KOvs Julija Stoliarenko · Oct 22

vs Norma Dumont · Jul 23

vs Yana Santos · Aug 24

KOvs Joselyne Edwards · Apr 25

SUBvs Priscila Cachoeira · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Josiane NunesMetricChelsea Chandler

5.65

Strikes / min

3.55

5.76

Strikes absorbed / min

4.44

51%

Strike defense

40%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.87

58%

Takedown defense

28%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.11evenly matched on net striking-0.89

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Josiane NunesChelsea Chandler

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Josiane Nunes(6 fights)Chelsea Chandler(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -19.1|Blue +19.1

Recent Form

Red +1.3|Blue -1.3

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +175.0|Blue -175.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Josiane NunesTargetChelsea Chandler

By target zone

44% acc · 79%

Head

40% acc · 74%

47% acc · 19%

Body

62% acc · 22%

100% acc · 2%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

43% acc · 91%

Distance

41% acc · 74%

100% acc · 9%

Clinch

67% acc · 3%

Ground

62% acc · 22%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Josiane Nunes rounds

even

Chelsea Chandler rounds

Round 1Chelsea Chandler edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:26

20Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:27Control

Round 2Chelsea Chandler edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:11Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:00

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:24Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

47 / 105

Sig Strikes

58 / 130

50%

Sig Str %

45%

49 / 108

Total Strikes

100 / 176

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 2

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:26

Ctrl Time

7:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Chelsea Chandler	20 / 40	29 / 53	1 / 1
1	Josiane Nunes	13 / 32	15 / 35	0 / 0
2	Chelsea Chandler	15 / 33	46 / 64	1 / 1
2	Josiane Nunes	9 / 13	9 / 13	0 / 0
3	Chelsea Chandler	23 / 57	25 / 59	0 / 0
3	Josiane Nunes	25 / 60	25 / 60	0 / 0

Josiane Nunes

StanceSouthpaw

Height62.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights6

Chelsea Chandler

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights6