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Flyweight
3 Rounds
Joshua Sampo won · Submission R2
Elo1355
Elo1405

Joshua SampovsRyan BenoitUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · Saturday, November 30, 2013Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Joshua Sampo won

Submission · Round 2 · 4:31

Model Prediction: Ryan Benoit wins(50.3%)

Actual result: Joshua Sampo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ryan Benoit at +105 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Joshua Sampo enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Ryan Benoit enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Joshua Sampo threatens submissions; Ryan Benoit has lost 33% of fights by sub.
  • Ryan Benoit has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Joshua Sampo
Red Corner
VS
Ryan Benoit
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
1355
Elo
1405
29
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'5"
162.56 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joshua SampoL3 streak
oldest →
L
DECvs Zach Makovsky · Feb 14
L
SUBvs Paddy Holohan · Jul 14
L
DECvs Justin Scoggins · May 15
latest
Ryan BenoitL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Brandon Moreno · Dec 16
W
KOvs Ashkan Mokhtarian · Nov 17
L
vs Heili Alateng · Dec 19
L
vs Tim Elliott · Jul 20
L
vs Zarrukh Adashev · Jul 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joshua SampoMetricRyan Benoit
—
Strikes / min
2.88
—
Strikes absorbed / min
3.65
—
Strike defense
58%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.28
—
Takedown defense
72%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Joshua Sampo(4 fights)Ryan Benoit(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -50.2|Blue +50.2
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Joshua Sampo

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights2

Ryan Benoit

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights9