Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Devin Clark won · U-DEC R3

Elo1361

Elo1496

Josh StansburyvsDevin ClarkUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · Saturday, December 3, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Devin Clark won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJosh Stansbury: Well-roundedvsDevin Clark: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Josh Stansbury wins(63.2%)

Actual result: Devin Clark wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Josh Stansbury at -105 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Josh Stansbury has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Josh Stansbury has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Josh Stansbury

Red Corner

Devin Clark

Blue Corner

-105

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-115

(53%)

1361

Elo

1496

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'0"

187.96 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Josh Stansbury

oldest →

vs Cory Hendricks · Jul 16

KOvs Jeremy Kimball · Jun 17

latest

Devin ClarkL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs William Knight · Apr 22

KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Aug 22

vs Da Woon Jung · Feb 23

SUBvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · May 23

vs Marcin Prachnio · Feb 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Josh StansburyMetricDevin Clark

3.22

Strikes / min

3.03

3.54

Strikes absorbed / min

3.24

54%

Strike defense

44%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

2.17

87%

Takedown defense

58%

1.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.32evenly matched on net striking-0.21

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Josh StansburyDevin Clark

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Josh Stansbury(3 fights)Devin Clark(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -135.1|Blue +135.1

Recent Form

Red +2.0|Blue -2.0

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +5.0|Blue -5.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Josh StansburyTargetDevin Clark

By target zone

42% acc · 58%

Head

40% acc · 74%

90% acc · 25%

Body

67% acc · 13%

100% acc · 17%

Leg

86% acc · 13%

By position

48% acc · 64%

Distance

46% acc · 85%

76% acc · 36%

Clinch

50% acc · 15%

0% acc

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Josh Stansbury rounds

even

Devin Clark rounds

Round 1Devin Clark edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:17

6Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:02Control

Round 2Devin Clark edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control2:19

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:41Control

Round 3Devin Clark edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control1:15

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:58Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

36 / 66

Sig Strikes

47 / 103

53.7%

Sig Str %

43%

83 / 114

Total Strikes

115 / 176

0 / 2

TDs

1 / 6

TD %

16.7%

Sub Att

Rev

3:51

Ctrl Time

4:41

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Devin Clark	6 / 19	39 / 54	1 / 2	0
1	Josh Stansbury	9 / 17	22 / 30	0 / 0	2
2	Devin Clark	20 / 37	44 / 63	0 / 2	0
2	Josh Stansbury	12 / 23	32 / 44	0 / 0	0
3	Devin Clark	21 / 47	32 / 59	0 / 2	0
3	Josh Stansbury	15 / 26	29 / 40	0 / 2	0

Josh Stansbury

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights3

Devin Clark

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights17