Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Parisian enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Roque Martinez has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Josh Parisian has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh ParisianL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Don'Tale Mayes · Dec 21W
KOvs Alan Baudot · Jun 22L
vs Jamal Pogues · Feb 23L
SUBvs Martin Buday · Aug 23L
KOvs Robelis Despaigne · Mar 24 Roque MartinezL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Sep 20L
vs Don'Tale Mayes · Nov 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh ParisianMetricRoque Martinez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.33Δ 1.29 — meaningful gap-1.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Josh ParisianRoque Martinez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Parisian(7 fights)Roque Martinez(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +88.7|Blue -88.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Josh ParisianTargetRoque Martinez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Roque Martinez edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:08
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:40Control
Round 2Josh Parisian edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns1
Control2:22
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:08Control
Round 3Roque Martinez edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control1:53
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:31Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
