Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Parisian enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Alan Baudot enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Josh Parisian is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Alan Baudot has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Alan Baudot has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh ParisianL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Roque Martinez · Jun 21L
KOvs Don'Tale Mayes · Dec 21L
vs Jamal Pogues · Feb 23L
SUBvs Martin Buday · Aug 23L
KOvs Robelis Despaigne · Mar 24 Alan BaudotL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Oct 20L
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · Jul 21L
vs Parker Porter · Feb 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh ParisianMetricAlan Baudot
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.33evenly matched on net striking+0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Josh ParisianAlan Baudot
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Parisian(7 fights)Alan Baudot(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +64.6|Blue -64.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +63.0|Blue -63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Josh ParisianTargetAlan Baudot
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alan Baudot edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns1
Control0:48
Knockdowns0
38Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:41Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Josh Parisian edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns2
Control2:21
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
