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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Josh Koscheck won · U-DEC R3

Elo1354

Elo1490

Josh KoscheckvsPaul DaleyUFC Prediction Result

UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · Saturday, May 8, 2010Montreal, Quebec, Canada

Official fight result

Josh Koscheck won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJosh Koscheck: WrestlervsPaul Daley: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Josh Koscheck wins(63.4%)

Actual result: Josh Koscheck wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Josh Koscheck at -250 American odds

+$40 profit

$140 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Josh Koscheck enters on a 5-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Josh Koscheck

Red Corner

Paul Daley

Blue Corner

-250

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+230

(30%)

1354

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'9"

185.42 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Josh KoscheckL5 streak

oldest →

vs Johny Hendricks · May 12

KOvs Robbie Lawler · Feb 13

KOvs Tyron Woodley · Nov 13

SUBvs Jake Ellenberger · Feb 15

SUBvs Erick Silva · Mar 15

latest

Paul DaleyNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Josh KoscheckMetricPaul Daley

1.79

Strikes / min

3.14

2.27

Strikes absorbed / min

2.37

63%

Strike defense

60%

2.46

TDs / 15 min

0.91

64%

Takedown defense

64%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.48Δ 1.25 — meaningful gap+0.77

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Josh KoscheckPaul Daley

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Josh Koscheck(9 fights)Paul Daley(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -135.7|Blue +135.7

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Josh KoscheckTargetPaul Daley

By target zone

52% acc · 58%

Head

38% acc · 91%

100% acc · 37%

Body

50% acc · 9%

100% acc · 5%

Leg

By position

20% acc · 11%

Distance

32% acc · 64%

Clinch

33% acc · 9%

89% acc · 89%

Ground

100% acc · 27%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Josh Koscheck rounds

even

Paul Daley rounds

Round 1Josh Koscheck edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns2

Control3:25

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 2Josh Koscheck edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control4:41

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Josh Koscheck edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control3:55

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

19 / 29

Sig Strikes

11 / 28

57.7%

Sig Str %

53.7%

83 / 93

Total Strikes

14 / 31

4 / 6

TDs

0 / 0

72%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

12:01

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Paul Daley	3 / 14	3 / 14	0 / 0	0
1	Josh Koscheck	3 / 8	12 / 17	2 / 3	1
2	Paul Daley	4 / 4	6 / 6	0 / 0	0
2	Josh Koscheck	13 / 15	36 / 38	1 / 1	0
3	Paul Daley	4 / 10	5 / 11	0 / 0	0
3	Josh Koscheck	3 / 6	35 / 38	1 / 2	0

Josh Koscheck

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights9

Paul Daley

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights1