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Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Josh Hokit won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1596
Josh Hokit
Elo1482
Max Gimenis editorial illustration

Josh HokitvsMax GimenisUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · Saturday, November 8, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Josh Hokit won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:56

Style matchupJosh Hokit: WrestlervsMax Gimenis: Striker

Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Josh Hokit wins(86.3%)

Actual result: Josh Hokit wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Josh Hokit at -430 American odds

+$23 profit

$123 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Josh Hokit enters on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Josh Hokit has 75pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.

Tale of the Tape

Josh Hokit
Red Corner
VS
Max Gimenis
Blue Corner
-430
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+340
(23%)
1596
Elo
1482
28
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'2"
185.42 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Josh HokitW3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Denzel Freeman · Jan 26
W
DECvs Curtis Blaydes · Apr 26
W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jun 26
latest
Max GimenisNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Josh HokitMetricMax Gimenis
9.25
Strikes / min
3.21
6.81
Strikes absorbed / min
9.64
44%
Strike defense
47%
3.89
TDs / 15 min
0.00
75%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.44Δ 8.87 — meaningful gap-6.43

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes6.1 vs 3.2Takedowns8.7 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form0.0 vs 0.0
Josh HokitMax Gimenis

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701505154015751610← oldermost recent →
Josh Hokit(4 fights)Max Gimenis(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +113.4|Blue -113.4
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Josh HokitTargetMax Gimenis

By target zone

9
53% acc · 100%
Head
0
0% acc
0
Body
1
100% acc · 33%
0
Leg
2
100% acc · 67%

By position

7
47% acc · 78%
Distance
3
50% acc · 100%
1
100% acc · 11%
Clinch
0
0% acc
1
100% acc · 11%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Josh Hokit rounds
0
even
0
Max Gimenis rounds
Round 1Josh Hokit edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:08
Knockdowns2
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2
KD
0
9 / 17
Sig Strikes
3 / 7
52%
Sig Str %
42%
11 / 19
Total Strikes
3 / 7
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:08
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Max Gimenis3 / 73 / 70 / 00
1Josh Hokit9 / 1711 / 190 / 00

Josh Hokit

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights2

Max Gimenis

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights1