Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Hokit enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Josh Hokit is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Derrick Lewis has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Josh Hokit has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Derrick Lewis has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh HokitW3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Max Gimenis · Nov 25W
KOvs Denzel Freeman · Jan 26W
DECvs Curtis Blaydes · Apr 26 Derrick Lewis
oldest →W
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Jul 23L
vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23W
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh HokitMetricDerrick Lewis
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.44Δ 2.55 — meaningful gap-0.11
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Hokit(4 fights)Derrick Lewis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +114.2|Blue -114.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -77.0|Blue +77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Josh HokitTargetDerrick Lewis
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Josh Hokit edged it
Sig. strikes41
Takedowns2
Control3:01
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Josh Hokit edged it
Sig. strikes45
Takedowns0
Control1:03
Knockdowns1
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
