Featherweight

3 Rounds

George Roop won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1352

Elo1355

Josh GrispivsGeorge RoopUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · Saturday, June 4, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

George Roop won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 3:14

Style matchupJosh Grispi: Submission grapplervsGeorge Roop: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: George Roop wins(51.4%)

Actual result: George Roop wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

George Roop at +335 American odds

+$335 profit

$435 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Josh Grispi enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
George Roop has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
George Roop has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Josh Grispi

Red Corner

George Roop

Blue Corner

-420

(81%)

Vegas Odds

+335

(23%)

1352

Elo

1355

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'1"

187.96 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Josh GrispiL3 streak

oldest →

vs Dustin Poirier · Jan 11

SUBvs Rani Yahya · Aug 12

vs Andy Ogle · Feb 13

latest

George RoopL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Brian Bowles · May 13

KOvs Francisco Rivera · Nov 13

vs Dustin Kimura · Apr 14

KOvs Rob Font · Jul 14

vs Takeya Mizugaki · Sep 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Josh GrispiMetricGeorge Roop

1.44

Strikes / min

3.43

3.71

Strikes absorbed / min

2.47

50%

Strike defense

60%

1.97

TDs / 15 min

1.05

16%

Takedown defense

59%

2.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.27Δ 3.23 — meaningful gap+0.96

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Josh GrispiGeorge Roop

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Josh Grispi(4 fights)George Roop(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -3.4|Blue +3.4

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -1.9|Blue +1.9

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +21.0|Blue -21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Josh GrispiTargetGeorge Roop

By target zone

20% acc · 36%

Head

58% acc · 70%

50% acc · 9%

Body

92% acc · 24%

100% acc · 55%

Leg

63% acc · 5%

By position

36% acc · 73%

Distance

51% acc · 30%

0% acc

Clinch

85% acc · 19%

60% acc · 27%

Ground

68% acc · 52%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Josh Grispi rounds

even

George Roop rounds

Round 1George Roop edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns2

Control3:32

33Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:09Control

Round 2George Roop edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

34Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

4:53Control

Round 3George Roop edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns2

Control1:21

Knockdowns0

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 28

Sig Strikes

91 / 142

55.7%

Sig Str %

63.7%

14 / 31

Total Strikes

159 / 212

4 / 5

TDs

0 / 0

83%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:53

Ctrl Time

6:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	George Roop	33 / 46	63 / 76	0 / 0
1	Josh Grispi	3 / 11	6 / 14	2 / 3
2	George Roop	34 / 49	56 / 73	0 / 0
2	Josh Grispi	2 / 2	2 / 2	0 / 0
3	George Roop	24 / 47	40 / 63	0 / 0
3	Josh Grispi	6 / 15	6 / 15	2 / 2

Josh Grispi

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights4

George Roop

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights10