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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Tresean Gore won · SUB R2

Elo1495

Elo1506

Josh FremdvsTresean GoreUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · Saturday, October 29, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Tresean Gore won

SUB · Round 2 · 0:49

Model Prediction: Tresean Gore wins(54.1%)

Actual result: Tresean Gore wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tresean Gore at +135 American odds

+$135 profit

$235 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Tresean Gore has 53pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Tresean Gore (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Josh Fremd

Red Corner

Tresean Gore

Blue Corner

-155

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+135

(43%)

1495

Elo

1506

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

6'4"

Height

6'0"

193.04 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Josh FremdL2 streak

oldest →

vs Anthony Hernandez · Apr 22

SUBvs Sedriques Dumas · Mar 23

vs Jamie Pickett · Aug 23

KOvs Roman Kopylov · Sep 23

vs Andre Petroski · Jul 24

latest

Tresean Gore

oldest →

KOvs Cody Brundage · Jul 22

SUBvs Antonio Trocoli · Nov 24

KOvs Marco Tulio · Apr 25

vs Rodolfo Vieira · Aug 25

SUBvs Azamat Bekoev · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Josh FremdMetricTresean Gore

2.52

Strikes / min

3.41

2.23

Strikes absorbed / min

7.00

47%

Strike defense

40%

0.66

TDs / 15 min

1.91

30%

Takedown defense

83%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.29Δ 3.88 — meaningful gap-3.59

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Josh FremdTresean Gore

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Josh Fremd(6 fights)Tresean Gore(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -10.7|Blue +10.7

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red +91.0|Blue -91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Josh FremdTargetTresean Gore

By target zone

23% acc · 33%

Head

50% acc · 70%

79% acc · 46%

Body

50% acc · 10%

100% acc · 21%

Leg

50% acc · 20%

By position

43% acc · 83%

Distance

60% acc · 90%

57% acc · 17%

Clinch

20% acc · 10%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Josh Fremd rounds

even

Tresean Gore rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:30

8Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:36Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:09

2Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:10Control

Fight Stats

Totals

24 / 54

Sig Strikes

10 / 20

43.5%

Sig Str %

45%

27 / 57

Total Strikes

14 / 25

0 / 1

TDs

3 / 4

TD %

83%

Sub Att

Rev

0:39

Ctrl Time

2:46

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Tresean Gore	8 / 14	12 / 19	2 / 3	0
1	Josh Fremd	18 / 40	21 / 43	0 / 0	0
2	Tresean Gore	2 / 6	2 / 6	1 / 1	1
2	Josh Fremd	6 / 14	6 / 14	0 / 1	0

Josh Fremd

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights6

Tresean Gore

StanceSwitch

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights8