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Flyweight
3 Rounds
Joseph Morales won · Submission R1
Elo1532
Elo1491
Roberto Sanchez

Joseph MoralesvsRoberto SanchezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · Saturday, August 5, 2017Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico

Official fight result

Joseph Morales won

Submission · Round 1 · 3:56

Model Prediction: Roberto Sanchez wins(52.3%)

Actual result: Joseph Morales wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Roberto Sanchez at -120 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Joseph Morales threatens submissions; Roberto Sanchez has lost 50% of fights by sub.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Joseph Morales (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Joseph Morales
Red Corner
VS
Roberto Sanchez
Blue Corner
+100
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-120
(55%)
1532
Elo
1491
31
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'6"
175.26 cm
Reach
167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joseph MoralesW2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Feb 18
L
vs Eric Shelton · Nov 18
W
SUBvs Alibi Idiris · Aug 25
W
SUBvs Matt Schnell · Nov 25
latest
Roberto Sanchez
oldest →
W
SUBvs Joby Sanchez · Feb 18
L
DECvs Jarred Brooks · Sep 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joseph MoralesMetricRoberto Sanchez
2.00
Strikes / min
—
2.05
Strikes absorbed / min
—
57%
Strike defense
—
1.14
TDs / 15 min
—
26%
Takedown defense
—
3.00
Sub atts / 15 min
—
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801498151515331550← oldermost recent →
Joseph Morales(5 fights)Roberto Sanchez(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +40.7|Blue -40.7
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Joseph Morales

StanceSwitch
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights5

Roberto Sanchez

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights2