Flyweight

3 Rounds

Joseph Benavidez won · U-DEC R3

Elo1397

Elo1359

Joseph BenavidezvsZach MakovskyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · Saturday, February 6, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Joseph Benavidez won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJoseph Benavidez: Elusive strikervsZach Makovsky: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Joseph Benavidez wins(58.5%)

Actual result: Joseph Benavidez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joseph Benavidez at -420 American odds

+$24 profit

$124 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Joseph Benavidez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Joseph Benavidez

Red Corner

Zach Makovsky

Blue Corner

-420

(81%)

Vegas Odds

+335

(23%)

1397

Elo

1359

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'4"

Height

5'4"

165.1 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joseph BenavidezL3 streak

oldest →

vs Dustin Ortiz · Jan 19

KOvs Jussier Formiga · Jun 19

KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Feb 20

SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Jul 20

vs Askar Askarov · Mar 21

latest

Zach MakovskyL2 streak

oldest →

DECvs Joshua Sampo · Feb 14

vs Jussier Formiga · Aug 14

vs Tim Elliott · Feb 15

vs John Dodson · May 15

vs Dustin Ortiz · Dec 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joseph BenavidezMetricZach Makovsky

3.52

Strikes / min

1.94

2.67

Strikes absorbed / min

2.24

61%

Strike defense

62%

1.41

TDs / 15 min

3.71

62%

Takedown defense

56%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.85Δ 1.15 — meaningful gap-0.30

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Joseph BenavidezZach Makovsky

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Joseph Benavidez(10 fights)Zach Makovsky(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +38.3|Blue -38.3

Recent Form

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -133.0|Blue +133.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Joseph BenavidezTargetZach Makovsky

By target zone

27% acc · 68%

Head

30% acc · 60%

63% acc · 29%

Body

80% acc · 10%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

100% acc · 30%

By position

28% acc · 70%

Distance

38% acc · 83%

66% acc · 29%

Clinch

70% acc · 18%

100% acc · 2%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Joseph Benavidez rounds

even

Zach Makovsky rounds

Round 1Joseph Benavidez edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:32Control

Round 2Zach Makovsky edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:18

12Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:28Control

Round 3Joseph Benavidez edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:16

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:17Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

66 / 197

Sig Strikes

40 / 96

32.3%

Sig Str %

41.7%

82 / 214

Total Strikes

43 / 99

0 / 0

TDs

4 / 19

—

TD %

26.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:34

Ctrl Time

1:17

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Zach Makovsky	13 / 34	13 / 34	2 / 5
1	Joseph Benavidez	24 / 66	28 / 70	0 / 0
2	Zach Makovsky	12 / 32	13 / 33	2 / 5
2	Joseph Benavidez	13 / 56	18 / 61	0 / 0
3	Zach Makovsky	15 / 30	17 / 32	0 / 9
3	Joseph Benavidez	29 / 75	36 / 83	0 / 0

Joseph Benavidez

StanceSouthpaw

Height64.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights21

Zach Makovsky

StanceSouthpaw

Height64.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights7