Flyweight

4 Rounds

Joseph Benavidez won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1397

Elo1352

Joseph BenavidezvsYasuhiro UrushitaniUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann · Friday, March 2, 2012Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Official fight result

Joseph Benavidez won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 0:11

Style matchupJoseph Benavidez: Elusive strikervsYasuhiro Urushitani: Striker

Two strikers, different gameplans. Volume vs precision — judges typically favor activity.

Model Prediction: Joseph Benavidez wins(71.5%)

Actual result: Joseph Benavidez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joseph Benavidez at -870 American odds

+$11 profit

$111 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Joseph Benavidez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Yasuhiro Urushitani has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Joseph Benavidez

Red Corner

Yasuhiro Urushitani

Blue Corner

-870

(90%)

Vegas Odds

+680

(13%)

1397

Elo

1352

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'4"

Height

5'5"

165.1 cm

Reach

170 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joseph BenavidezL3 streak

oldest →

vs Dustin Ortiz · Jan 19

KOvs Jussier Formiga · Jun 19

KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Feb 20

SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Jul 20

vs Askar Askarov · Mar 21

latest

Yasuhiro Urushitani

oldest →

vs John Lineker · Nov 12

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joseph BenavidezMetricYasuhiro Urushitani

3.52

Strikes / min

3.47

2.67

Strikes absorbed / min

4.71

61%

Strike defense

65%

1.41

TDs / 15 min

0.00

62%

Takedown defense

80%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.85Δ 2.09 — meaningful gap-1.24

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Joseph BenavidezYasuhiro Urushitani

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Joseph Benavidez(10 fights)Yasuhiro Urushitani(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +45.2|Blue -45.2

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -48.4|Blue +48.4

Grappler Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Joseph BenavidezTargetYasuhiro Urushitani

By target zone

28% acc · 44%

Head

38% acc · 63%

60% acc · 33%

Body

100% acc · 25%

36% acc · 22%

Leg

33% acc · 13%

By position

29% acc · 67%

Distance

44% acc · 100%

100% acc · 11%

Clinch

67% acc · 22%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Joseph Benavidez rounds

even

Yasuhiro Urushitani rounds

Round 1Joseph Benavidez edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control2:46

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Joseph Benavidez edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:05

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

18 / 50

Sig Strikes

8 / 18

46.5%

Sig Str %

70.5%

33 / 65

Total Strikes

12 / 22

1 / 5

TDs

0 / 0

20%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:51

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Yasuhiro Urushitani	7 / 17	11 / 21	0 / 0	0
1	Joseph Benavidez	15 / 45	25 / 55	1 / 5	1
2	Yasuhiro Urushitani	1 / 1	1 / 1	0 / 0	0
2	Joseph Benavidez	3 / 5	8 / 10	0 / 0	0

Joseph Benavidez

StanceSouthpaw

Height64.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights21

Yasuhiro Urushitani

StanceSouthpaw

Height65.0"

Reach—

Fights2