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Flyweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Deiveson Figueiredo won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1397

Elo1483

Joseph BenavidezvsDeiveson FigueiredoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · Saturday, February 29, 2020Norfolk, Virginia, USA

Official fight result

Deiveson Figueiredo won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:54

Style matchupJoseph Benavidez: Elusive strikervsDeiveson Figueiredo: Submission grappler

The grappler must close distance and chain wrestling. The elusive striker keeps space and picks shots.

Model Prediction: Deiveson Figueiredo wins(50.5%)

Actual result: Deiveson Figueiredo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Deiveson Figueiredo at +130 American odds

+$130 profit

$230 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Joseph Benavidez has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Joseph Benavidez (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Joseph Benavidez

Red Corner

Deiveson Figueiredo

Blue Corner

-150

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+130

(43%)

1397

Elo

1483

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'5"

165.1 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joseph BenavidezL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Alex Perez · Nov 18

vs Dustin Ortiz · Jan 19

KOvs Jussier Formiga · Jun 19

SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Jul 20

vs Askar Askarov · Mar 21

latest

Deiveson FigueiredoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Petr Yan · Nov 24

KOvs Cory Sandhagen · May 25

vs Montel Jackson · Oct 25

vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 26

SUBvs Song Yadong · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joseph BenavidezMetricDeiveson Figueiredo

3.52

Strikes / min

2.63

2.67

Strikes absorbed / min

3.47

61%

Strike defense

49%

1.41

TDs / 15 min

1.61

62%

Takedown defense

57%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

1.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.85Δ 1.69 — meaningful gap-0.84

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Joseph BenavidezDeiveson Figueiredo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Joseph Benavidez(10 fights)Deiveson Figueiredo(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -85.8|Blue +85.8

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red +1.6|Blue -1.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Layoff

Red +105.0|Blue -105.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Joseph BenavidezTargetDeiveson Figueiredo

By target zone

44% acc · 61%

Head

46% acc · 72%

62% acc · 17%

Body

70% acc · 28%

56% acc · 22%

Leg

By position

46% acc · 78%

Distance

45% acc · 80%

63% acc · 22%

Clinch

100% acc · 8%

Ground

100% acc · 12%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Joseph Benavidez rounds

even

Deiveson Figueiredo rounds

Round 1Joseph Benavidez edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:10

15Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:24Control

Round 2Deiveson Figueiredo edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 94

Sig Strikes

25 / 49

47.5%

Sig Str %

50%

46 / 94

Total Strikes

25 / 49

0 / 2

TDs

1 / 1

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:10

Ctrl Time

0:26

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Deiveson Figueiredo	15 / 28	15 / 28	1 / 1	1
1	Joseph Benavidez	31 / 60	31 / 60	0 / 2	0
2	Deiveson Figueiredo	10 / 21	10 / 21	0 / 0	0
2	Joseph Benavidez	15 / 34	15 / 34	0 / 0	0

Joseph Benavidez

StanceSouthpaw

Height64.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights21

Deiveson Figueiredo

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights20