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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Joseph Benavidez won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1397

Elo1498

Joseph BenavidezvsAlex PerezUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale · Friday, November 30, 2018Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Joseph Benavidez won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:19

Style matchupJoseph Benavidez: Elusive strikervsAlex Perez: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Joseph Benavidez wins(50.2%)

Actual result: Joseph Benavidez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joseph Benavidez at +100 American odds

+$100 profit

$200 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Joseph Benavidez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Joseph Benavidez (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Joseph Benavidez

Red Corner

Alex Perez

Blue Corner

+100

(50%)

Vegas Odds

-120

(55%)

1397

Elo

1498

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'6"

165.1 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joseph BenavidezL3 streak

oldest →

vs Dustin Ortiz · Jan 19

KOvs Jussier Formiga · Jun 19

KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Feb 20

SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Jul 20

vs Askar Askarov · Mar 21

latest

Alex Perez

oldest →

KOvs Matheus Nicolau · Apr 24

KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Jun 24

SUBvs Asu Almabayev · Nov 25

KOvs Charles Johnson · Jan 26

vs Sumudaerji · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joseph BenavidezMetricAlex Perez

3.52

Strikes / min

4.41

2.67

Strikes absorbed / min

3.20

61%

Strike defense

59%

1.41

TDs / 15 min

2.21

62%

Takedown defense

75%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.85evenly matched on net striking+1.21

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Joseph BenavidezAlex Perez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Joseph Benavidez(10 fights)Alex Perez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -101.4|Blue +101.4

Recent Form

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Striker Score

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Joseph BenavidezTargetAlex Perez

By target zone

42% acc · 57%

Head

24% acc · 36%

65% acc · 31%

Body

78% acc · 50%

57% acc · 11%

Leg

100% acc · 14%

By position

38% acc · 54%

Distance

33% acc · 64%

50% acc · 3%

Clinch

100% acc · 36%

75% acc · 43%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Joseph Benavidez rounds

even

Alex Perez rounds

Round 1Joseph Benavidez edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns1

Control1:15

14Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:03Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

35 / 72

Sig Strikes

14 / 32

48%

Sig Str %

43%

42 / 79

Total Strikes

14 / 32

1 / 2

TDs

1 / 1

50%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

1:15

Ctrl Time

0:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Alex Perez	14 / 32	14 / 32	1 / 1	0
1	Joseph Benavidez	35 / 72	42 / 79	1 / 2	0

Joseph Benavidez

StanceSouthpaw

Height64.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights21

Alex Perez

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights16