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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Joselyne Edwards won · SUB R3

Elo1567

Elo1481

Joselyne EdwardsvsTamires VidalUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · Saturday, October 19, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Joselyne Edwards won

SUB · Round 3 · 4:33

Model Prediction: Joselyne Edwards wins(68.5%)

Actual result: Joselyne Edwards wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joselyne Edwards at -258 American odds

+$39 profit

$139 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Joselyne Edwards enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Joselyne Edwards has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Joselyne Edwards

Red Corner

Tamires Vidal

Blue Corner

-258

(72%)

Vegas Odds

+210

(32%)

1567

Elo

1481

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'6"

177.8 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joselyne EdwardsW4 streak

oldest →

vs Ailin Perez · Jun 24

KOvs Chelsea Chandler · Apr 25

KOvs Priscila Cachoeira · Aug 25

SUBvs Nora Cornolle · Feb 26

DECvs Norma Dumont · Apr 26

latest

Tamires VidalL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Ramona Pascual · Nov 22

vs Montserrat Rendon · Sep 23

KOvs Melissa Gatto · May 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joselyne EdwardsMetricTamires Vidal

4.61

Strikes / min

2.91

3.26

Strikes absorbed / min

4.46

50%

Strike defense

49%

1.29

TDs / 15 min

0.00

62%

Takedown defense

35%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.35Δ 2.90 — meaningful gap-1.55

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Joselyne EdwardsTamires Vidal

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Joselyne Edwards(10 fights)Tamires Vidal(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +86.3|Blue -86.3

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -14.0|Blue +14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Joselyne EdwardsTargetTamires Vidal

By target zone

51% acc · 59%

Head

34% acc · 44%

77% acc · 25%

Body

64% acc · 26%

93% acc · 16%

Leg

91% acc · 29%

By position

56% acc · 75%

Distance

44% acc · 74%

82% acc · 11%

Clinch

75% acc · 26%

73% acc · 14%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Joselyne Edwards rounds

even

Tamires Vidal rounds

Round 1Joselyne Edwards edged it

Sig. strikes41

Takedowns2

Control0:45

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:42Control

Round 2Joselyne Edwards edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns1

Control1:38

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:51Control

Round 3Joselyne Edwards edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns1

Control2:07

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

81 / 134

Sig Strikes

34 / 69

60.3%

Sig Str %

51.3%

151 / 212

Total Strikes

53 / 91

4 / 7

TDs

0 / 1

80%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

4:30

Ctrl Time

2:35

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Tamires Vidal	18 / 41	24 / 47	0 / 1	0
1	Joselyne Edwards	41 / 65	70 / 98	2 / 5	0
2	Tamires Vidal	5 / 10	17 / 25	0 / 0	0
2	Joselyne Edwards	14 / 22	35 / 45	1 / 1	0
3	Tamires Vidal	11 / 18	12 / 19	0 / 0	0
3	Joselyne Edwards	26 / 47	46 / 69	1 / 1	2

Joselyne Edwards

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights12

Tamires Vidal

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights4