Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Josefine Knutsson won · U-DEC R3

Elo1502

Elo1491

Josefine KnutssonvsMarnic MannUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · Saturday, September 16, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Josefine Knutsson won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Josefine Knutsson wins(74.0%)

Actual result: Josefine Knutsson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Josefine Knutsson has 23pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Marnic Mann (53.5%).
Marnic Mann has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Josefine Knutsson

Red Corner

Marnic Mann

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1502

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'3"

Height

5'0"

152.4 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Josefine Knutsson

oldest →

vs Julia Polastri · Jun 24

vs Piera Rodriguez · Dec 24

latest

Marnic Mann

oldest →

vs Ketlen Souza · Apr 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Josefine KnutssonMetricMarnic Mann

4.24

Strikes / min

1.47

2.13

Strikes absorbed / min

5.08

54%

Strike defense

31%

1.60

TDs / 15 min

1.90

35%

Takedown defense

25%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.11Δ 5.72 — meaningful gap-3.61

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Josefine KnutssonMarnic Mann

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Josefine Knutsson(3 fights)Marnic Mann(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +10.9|Blue -10.9

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Josefine KnutssonTargetMarnic Mann

By target zone

55% acc · 65%

Head

30% acc · 75%

87% acc · 25%

Body

0% acc

100% acc · 10%

Leg

67% acc · 25%

By position

55% acc · 47%

Distance

28% acc · 100%

73% acc · 10%

Clinch

73% acc · 43%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Josefine Knutsson rounds

even

Marnic Mann rounds

Round 1Josefine Knutsson edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control3:53

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Josefine Knutsson edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns1

Control2:58

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:33Control

Round 3Josefine Knutsson edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns2

Control3:58

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

81 / 128

Sig Strikes

8 / 29

63.7%

Sig Str %

27%

147 / 206

Total Strikes

39 / 64

3 / 4

TDs

0 / 2

75%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

10:49

Ctrl Time

0:33

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Marnic Mann	2 / 7	12 / 18	0 / 2
1	Josefine Knutsson	27 / 38	45 / 62	0 / 0
2	Marnic Mann	2 / 10	19 / 29	0 / 0
2	Josefine Knutsson	32 / 55	44 / 67	1 / 2
3	Marnic Mann	4 / 12	8 / 17	0 / 0
3	Josefine Knutsson	22 / 35	58 / 77	2 / 2

Josefine Knutsson

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach60.0"

Fights3

Marnic Mann

StanceSouthpaw

Height60.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights2