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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Jose Quinonez won · SUB R1
Elo1393
Jose Quinonez
Elo1355

Jose QuinonezvsLeonardo MoralesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · Saturday, June 6, 2015New Orleans, Louisiana, USA

Official fight result

Jose Quinonez won

SUB · Round 1 · 2:34

Model Prediction: Jose Quinonez wins(85.5%)

Actual result: Jose Quinonez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jose Quinonez at +150 American odds

+$150 profit

$250 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Leonardo Morales has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Leonardo Morales (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Jose Quinonez
Red Corner
VS
Leonardo Morales
Blue Corner
+150
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
1393
Elo
1355
36
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'8"
175.26 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jose QuinonezL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Teruto Ishihara · Feb 18
L
SUBvs Nathaniel Wood · Mar 19
W
vs Carlos Huachin · Sep 19
L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Mar 20
L
KOvs Louis Smolka · Dec 20
latest
Leonardo Morales
oldest →
L
vs Yair Rodriguez · Nov 14
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jose QuinonezMetricLeonardo Morales
3.60
Strikes / min
2.05
3.00
Strikes absorbed / min
2.05
64%
Strike defense
58%
2.70
TDs / 15 min
0.00
42%
Takedown defense
62%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.60evenly matched on net striking0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1484 vs 1484Strikes38.0 vs 33.0Takedowns3.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts2.00 vs 0.00Form-1.0 vs -1.0
Jose QuinonezLeonardo Morales

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Jose Quinonez(9 fights)Leonardo Morales(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +37.8|Blue -37.8
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jose QuinonezTargetLeonardo Morales

By target zone

2
67% acc · 100%
Head
0
0% acc
0
Body
1
100% acc · 33%
0
Leg
2
100% acc · 67%

By position

0
0% acc
Distance
3
75% acc · 100%
1
100% acc · 50%
Clinch
0
1
100% acc · 50%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Jose Quinonez rounds
0
even
0
Leonardo Morales rounds
Round 1Jose Quinonez edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control2:12
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
2 / 3
Sig Strikes
3 / 4
66%
Sig Str %
75%
4 / 5
Total Strikes
3 / 4
1 / 2
TDs
0 / 0
50%
TD %
—
2
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
2:12
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Leonardo Morales3 / 43 / 40 / 00
1Jose Quinonez2 / 34 / 51 / 22

Jose Quinonez

StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights9

Leonardo Morales

StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach—
Fights2