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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Jose Quinonez won · U-DEC R3
Elo1393
Jose Quinonez
Elo1358

Jose QuinonezvsJoey GomezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · Saturday, September 17, 2016Hidalgo, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Jose Quinonez won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJose Quinonez: WrestlervsJoey Gomez: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Jose Quinonez wins(69.7%)

Actual result: Jose Quinonez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jose Quinonez at +125 American odds

+$125 profit

$225 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jose Quinonez has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Jose Quinonez has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jose Quinonez
Red Corner
VS
Joey Gomez
Blue Corner
+125
(44%)
Vegas Odds
-145
(59%)
1393
Elo
1358
36
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
175.26 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jose QuinonezL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Teruto Ishihara · Feb 18
L
SUBvs Nathaniel Wood · Mar 19
W
vs Carlos Huachin · Sep 19
L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Mar 20
L
KOvs Louis Smolka · Dec 20
latest
Joey Gomez
oldest →
L
KOvs Rob Font · Jan 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jose QuinonezMetricJoey Gomez
3.60
Strikes / min
3.73
3.00
Strikes absorbed / min
3.33
64%
Strike defense
50%
2.70
TDs / 15 min
2.00
42%
Takedown defense
0%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.60evenly matched on net striking+0.40

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1485Strikes20.0 vs 15.0Takedowns2.0 vs 1.0Sub Atts2.00 vs 0.00Form0.3 vs -1.0
Jose QuinonezJoey Gomez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Jose Quinonez(9 fights)Joey Gomez(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +34.6|Blue -34.6
Recent Form
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Striker Score
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff
Red +225.0|Blue -225.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jose QuinonezTargetJoey Gomez

By target zone

39
40% acc · 70%
Head
26
25% acc · 59%
15
48% acc · 27%
Body
7
41% acc · 16%
2
100% acc · 4%
Leg
11
85% acc · 25%

By position

43
41% acc · 77%
Distance
38
31% acc · 86%
5
50% acc · 9%
Clinch
6
50% acc · 14%
8
50% acc · 14%
Ground
0
0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Jose Quinonez rounds
0
even
0
Joey Gomez rounds
Round 1Jose Quinonez edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns3
Control1:18
Knockdowns1
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Jose Quinonez edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns2
Control0:58
Knockdowns0
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:12Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Jose Quinonez edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control2:20
Knockdowns1
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2
KD
1
56 / 131
Sig Strikes
44 / 136
42.7%
Sig Str %
30.7%
76 / 159
Total Strikes
66 / 159
5 / 7
TDs
0 / 0
75%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
4:36
Ctrl Time
0:15

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Joey Gomez21 / 5126 / 570 / 00
1Jose Quinonez21 / 6026 / 693 / 30
2Joey Gomez18 / 6423 / 690 / 00
2Jose Quinonez25 / 4530 / 502 / 40
3Joey Gomez5 / 2117 / 330 / 00
3Jose Quinonez10 / 2620 / 400 / 00

Jose Quinonez

StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights9

Joey Gomez

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights2