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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Jose Quinonez won · U-DEC R3

Elo1393

Elo1376

Jose QuinonezvsCarlos HuachinUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · Saturday, September 21, 2019Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico

Official fight result

Jose Quinonez won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Jose Quinonez wins(79.8%)

Actual result: Jose Quinonez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jose Quinonez at -150 American odds

+$67 profit

$167 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jose Quinonez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jose Quinonez has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Carlos Huachin has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Carlos Huachin (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Jose Quinonez

Red Corner

Carlos Huachin

Blue Corner

-150

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+130

(43%)

1393

Elo

1376

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'8"

Height

5'4"

175.26 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jose QuinonezL3 streak

oldest →

vs Diego Rivas · Aug 17

vs Teruto Ishihara · Feb 18

SUBvs Nathaniel Wood · Mar 19

KOvs Sean O'Malley · Mar 20

KOvs Louis Smolka · Dec 20

latest

Carlos Huachin

oldest →

KOvs Raoni Barcelos · May 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jose QuinonezMetricCarlos Huachin

3.60

Strikes / min

2.10

3.00

Strikes absorbed / min

4.80

64%

Strike defense

50%

2.70

TDs / 15 min

0.00

42%

Takedown defense

66%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.60Δ 3.30 — meaningful gap-2.70

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jose QuinonezCarlos Huachin

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jose Quinonez(9 fights)Carlos Huachin(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +16.3|Blue -16.3

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +1.9|Blue -1.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jose QuinonezTargetCarlos Huachin

By target zone

45% acc · 60%

Head

26% acc · 69%

62% acc · 13%

Body

24% acc · 19%

67% acc · 27%

Leg

67% acc · 13%

By position

43% acc · 67%

Distance

28% acc · 94%

0% acc

Clinch

0% acc

83% acc · 33%

Ground

50% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jose Quinonez rounds

even

Carlos Huachin rounds

Round 1Jose Quinonez edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:13

Knockdowns1

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Jose Quinonez edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns1

Control1:38

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Jose Quinonez edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns1

Control2:21

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

60 / 117

Sig Strikes

32 / 115

52%

Sig Str %

28%

71 / 130

Total Strikes

37 / 121

2 / 5

TDs

0 / 0

44.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:12

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Carlos Huachin	14 / 57	14 / 57	0 / 0
1	Jose Quinonez	18 / 47	18 / 47	0 / 1
2	Carlos Huachin	12 / 33	17 / 39	0 / 0
2	Jose Quinonez	17 / 33	22 / 39	1 / 1
3	Carlos Huachin	6 / 25	6 / 25	0 / 0
3	Jose Quinonez	25 / 37	31 / 44	1 / 3

Jose Quinonez

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights9

Carlos Huachin

StanceSouthpaw

Height64.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights2