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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Jose Delano won · Decision R3

Elo1519

Elo1466

Jose DelanovsRobert RuchalaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · Saturday, April 4, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Official fight result

Jose Delano won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Engine 7.0 was correct

Pre-fight pick: Jose Delano

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Jose Delano at -350 American odds · hypothetical only

+$29 profit

$129 total returned

Style matchupJose Delano: Pressure fightervsRobert Ruchala: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Jose Delano wins(52.6%)

Actual result: Jose Delano wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jose Delano has 23pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Robert Ruchala (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Jose Delano

Red Corner

Robert Ruchala

Blue Corner

-350

(78%)

Vegas Odds

+275

(27%)

1519

Elo

1466

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'8"

Height

5'8"

177.8 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jose DelanoNo prior UFC fights on record.

Robert Ruchala

oldest →

vs William Gomis · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jose DelanoMetricRobert Ruchala

8.43

Strikes / min

3.37

3.50

Strikes absorbed / min

5.20

68%

Strike defense

45%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

1.00

75%

Takedown defense

71%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+4.93Δ 6.76 — meaningful gap-1.83

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jose DelanoRobert Ruchala

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jose Delano(1 fights)Robert Ruchala(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +52.3|Blue -52.3

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +49.7|Blue -49.7

Grappler Score

Red +49.7|Blue -49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jose DelanoTargetRobert Ruchala

By target zone

54% acc · 66%

Head

27% acc · 60%

92% acc · 32%

Body

63% acc · 30%

67% acc · 2%

Leg

41% acc · 10%

By position

59% acc · 79%

Distance

32% acc · 90%

79% acc · 21%

Clinch

70% acc · 10%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jose Delano rounds

even

Robert Ruchala rounds

Round 1Robert Ruchala edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:00

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:35Control

Round 2Jose Delano edged it

Sig. strikes44

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Round 3Jose Delano edged it

Sig. strikes42

Takedowns0

Control0:38

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:30Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

107 / 172

Sig Strikes

67 / 198

60.3%

Sig Str %

33.3%

127 / 193

Total Strikes

69 / 200

0 / 5

TDs

0 / 3

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:38

Ctrl Time

1:08

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Robert Ruchala	25 / 62	25 / 62	0 / 1
1	Jose Delano	21 / 42	26 / 47	0 / 1
2	Robert Ruchala	20 / 65	20 / 65	0 / 1
2	Jose Delano	44 / 65	51 / 72	0 / 1
3	Robert Ruchala	22 / 71	24 / 73	0 / 1
3	Jose Delano	42 / 65	50 / 74	0 / 3

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Jose Delano

Odds

-350

Market-implied probability

Jose Delano 74%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Jose Delano (model pick · research)$129

Robert Ruchala$375

74% market-implied · model 91% (research) · vsklearn_gb_tuned_v2_20260514_122511

🔒 Pick locked May 14, 2026, 12:25 PM UTC · never rewritten

Jose Delano

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights1

Robert Ruchala

StanceSwitch

Height68.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights2