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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Costas Philippou won · Decision R3
Elo1490
Elo1490
Costas Philippou

Jorge RiveravsCostas PhilippouUFC Prediction Result

UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · Saturday, August 6, 2011Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA

Official fight result

Costas Philippou won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Jorge Rivera wins(75.0%)

Actual result: Costas Philippou wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jorge Rivera at -135 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Costas Philippou is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Jorge Rivera has lost 50% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Jorge Rivera
Red Corner
VS
Costas Philippou
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
1490
Elo
1490
54
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jorge Rivera
oldest →
W
KOvs Nate Quarry · Mar 10
L
KOvs Michael Bisping · Feb 11
W
KOvs Eric Schafer · Jan 12
latest
Costas Philippou
oldest →
W
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Dec 12
L
DECvs Francis Carmont · Sep 13
L
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Jan 14
W
KOvs Lorenz Larkin · May 14
L
DECvs Gegard Mousasi · May 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jorge RiveraMetricCostas Philippou
3.16
Strikes / min
—
2.64
Strikes absorbed / min
—
54%
Strike defense
—
0.84
TDs / 15 min
—
63%
Takedown defense
—
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1501 vs 1484Strikes26.7 vs 23.0Takedowns0.5 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.08 vs 0.00Form-0.4 vs -1.0
Jorge RiveraCostas Philippou

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Jorge Rivera(4 fights)Costas Philippou(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Recent Form
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score
Red +1.9|Blue -1.9
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Jorge Rivera

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4

Costas Philippou

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights2