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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Rustam Khabilov won · U-DEC R3

Elo1456

Elo1492

Jorge MasvidalvsRustam KhabilovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · Wednesday, November 6, 2013Fort Campbell, Kentucky, USA

Official fight result

Rustam Khabilov won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJorge Masvidal: Well-roundedvsRustam Khabilov: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Jorge Masvidal wins(65.7%)

Actual result: Rustam Khabilov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jorge Masvidal at +125 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jorge Masvidal enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Jorge Masvidal

Red Corner

Rustam Khabilov

Blue Corner

+125

(44%)

Vegas Odds

-135

(57%)

1456

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'8"

187.96 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jorge MasvidalL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Nate Diaz · Nov 19

vs Kamaru Usman · Jul 20

KOvs Kamaru Usman · Apr 21

vs Colby Covington · Mar 22

vs Gilbert Burns · Apr 23

latest

Rustam Khabilov

oldest →

vs Jason Saggo · Dec 16

vs Desmond Green · Sep 17

vs Kajan Johnson · Sep 18

vs Diego Ferreira · Feb 19

vs Sergey Khandozhko · Nov 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jorge MasvidalMetricRustam Khabilov

4.05

Strikes / min

1.98

3.05

Strikes absorbed / min

2.16

64%

Strike defense

65%

1.38

TDs / 15 min

3.95

72%

Takedown defense

61%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.00Δ 1.18 — meaningful gap-0.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jorge MasvidalRustam Khabilov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jorge Masvidal(10 fights)Rustam Khabilov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -35.7|Blue +35.7

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -91.0|Blue +91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jorge MasvidalTargetRustam Khabilov

By target zone

20% acc · 32%

Head

31% acc · 84%

76% acc · 42%

Body

38% acc · 16%

77% acc · 26%

Leg

0% acc

By position

33% acc · 58%

Distance

29% acc · 84%

75% acc · 39%

Clinch

67% acc · 13%

17% acc · 3%

Ground

50% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jorge Masvidal rounds

even

Rustam Khabilov rounds

Round 1Jorge Masvidal edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:04

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:23Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control0:38

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:46Control

Round 3Rustam Khabilov edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:44

Knockdowns0

9Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:41Control

1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

38 / 93

Sig Strikes

32 / 100

44.7%

Sig Str %

31.7%

47 / 103

Total Strikes

50 / 118

1 / 2

TDs

2 / 10

50%

TD %

17.7%

Sub Att

Rev

1:26

Ctrl Time

2:50

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Rustam Khabilov	12 / 39	12 / 39	0 / 2	0
1	Jorge Masvidal	15 / 41	22 / 48	0 / 0	0
2	Rustam Khabilov	11 / 33	13 / 35	1 / 3	0
2	Jorge Masvidal	11 / 34	13 / 37	1 / 1	0
3	Rustam Khabilov	9 / 28	25 / 44	1 / 5	1
3	Jorge Masvidal	12 / 18	12 / 18	0 / 1	0

Jorge Masvidal

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights22

Rustam Khabilov

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights13