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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Jordan Wright won · KO/TKO

Elo1449

Elo1488

Jordan WrightvsJamie PickettUFC Prediction Result

UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · Saturday, May 15, 2021Houston, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Jordan Wright won

KO/TKO

Style matchupJordan Wright: WrestlervsJamie Pickett: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Jordan Wright wins(60.2%)

Actual result: Jordan Wright wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jordan Wright at -108 American odds

+$93 profit

$193 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jordan Wright enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Jamie Pickett enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Jamie Pickett has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Jordan Wright has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jordan Wright

Red Corner

Jamie Pickett

Blue Corner

-108

(52%)

Vegas Odds

-112

(53%)

1449

Elo

1488

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'2"

195.58 cm

Reach

203.2 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jordan WrightL5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Nov 20

KOvs Bruno Silva · Dec 21

SUBvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Apr 22

KOvs Dusko Todorovic · Oct 22

vs Zac Pauga · Feb 23

latest

Jamie PickettL5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Kyle Daukaus · Feb 22

KOvs Denis Tiuliulin · Sep 22

SUBvs Bo Nickal · Mar 23

vs Josh Fremd · Aug 23

vs Eryk Anders · Mar 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jordan WrightMetricJamie Pickett

4.10

Strikes / min

2.65

6.03

Strikes absorbed / min

3.62

31%

Strike defense

50%

2.09

TDs / 15 min

1.26

100%

Takedown defense

67%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.93evenly matched on net striking-0.97

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jordan WrightJamie Pickett

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jordan Wright(7 fights)Jamie Pickett(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -39.7|Blue +39.7

Recent Form

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +28.0|Blue -28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jordan WrightTargetJamie Pickett

By target zone

78% acc · 81%

Head

67% acc · 50%

100% acc · 19%

Body

100% acc · 25%

Leg

100% acc · 25%

By position

83% acc · 19%

Distance

100% acc · 100%

100% acc · 46%

Clinch

0% acc

64% acc · 35%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jordan Wright rounds

even

Jamie Pickett rounds

Round 1Jordan Wright edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:11

Knockdowns1

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:12Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

26 / 32

Sig Strikes

4 / 5

81%

Sig Str %

80%

33 / 40

Total Strikes

4 / 5

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:11

Ctrl Time

0:12

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jamie Pickett	4 / 5	4 / 5	0 / 0	0
1	Jordan Wright	26 / 32	33 / 40	0 / 0	0

Jordan Wright

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights7

Jamie Pickett

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights9