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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Dusko Todorovic won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1449

Elo1494

Jordan WrightvsDusko TodorovicUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · Saturday, October 15, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Dusko Todorovic won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:12

Style matchupJordan Wright: WrestlervsDusko Todorovic: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Jordan Wright wins(52.9%)

Actual result: Dusko Todorovic wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jordan Wright at +190 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jordan Wright enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jordan Wright is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Dusko Todorovic has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Dusko Todorovic is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Jordan Wright has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Dusko Todorovic has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Jordan Wright has 58pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jordan Wright

Red Corner

Dusko Todorovic

Blue Corner

+190

(34%)

Vegas Odds

-225

(69%)

1449

Elo

1494

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'1"

195.58 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jordan WrightL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Nov 20

KOvs Jamie Pickett · May 21

KOvs Bruno Silva · Dec 21

SUBvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Apr 22

vs Zac Pauga · Feb 23

latest

Dusko Todorovic

oldest →

KOvs Chidi Njokuani · May 22

KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Mar 23

KOvs Mansur Abdul-Malik · Nov 24

vs Zach Reese · May 25

SUBvs Jose Daniel Medina · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jordan WrightMetricDusko Todorovic

4.10

Strikes / min

4.73

6.03

Strikes absorbed / min

4.40

31%

Strike defense

48%

2.09

TDs / 15 min

1.77

100%

Takedown defense

42%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.93Δ 2.26 — meaningful gap+0.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jordan WrightDusko Todorovic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jordan Wright(7 fights)Dusko Todorovic(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -45.9|Blue +45.9

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +28.0|Blue -28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jordan WrightTargetDusko Todorovic

By target zone

57% acc · 80%

Head

72% acc · 80%

83% acc · 20%

Body

100% acc · 20%

Leg

By position

39% acc · 28%

Distance

66% acc · 31%

78% acc · 28%

Clinch

90% acc · 46%

79% acc · 44%

Ground

70% acc · 23%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jordan Wright rounds

even

Dusko Todorovic rounds

Round 1Jordan Wright edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns3

Control4:24

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

Round 2Dusko Todorovic edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:39

58Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:58Control

Fight Stats

Totals

25 / 41

Sig Strikes

61 / 80

61.5%

Sig Str %

87.5%

66 / 83

Total Strikes

107 / 132

3 / 5

TDs

0 / 4

50%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

5:03

Ctrl Time

1:11

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Dusko Todorovic	3 / 3	4 / 4	0 / 2	0
1	Jordan Wright	17 / 20	58 / 62	3 / 3	1
2	Dusko Todorovic	58 / 77	103 / 128	0 / 2	0
2	Jordan Wright	8 / 21	8 / 21	0 / 2	0

Jordan Wright

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights7

Dusko Todorovic

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights10