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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Bruno Silva won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1449

Elo1453

Jordan WrightvsBruno SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · Saturday, December 11, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Bruno Silva won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:28

Style matchupJordan Wright: WrestlervsBruno Silva: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Jordan Wright wins(61.2%)

Actual result: Bruno Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jordan Wright at +245 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jordan Wright enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Bruno Silva is a KO finisher (78% of wins). Jordan Wright has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Bruno Silva has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Jordan Wright has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jordan Wright

Red Corner

Bruno Silva

Blue Corner

+245

(29%)

Vegas Odds

-310

(76%)

1449

Elo

1453

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'0"

195.58 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jordan WrightL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Nov 20

KOvs Jamie Pickett · May 21

SUBvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Apr 22

KOvs Dusko Todorovic · Oct 22

vs Zac Pauga · Feb 23

latest

Bruno SilvaL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · May 25

KOvs Joshua Van · Jun 25

SUBvs HyunSung Park · Oct 25

vs Charles Johnson · Mar 26

SUBvs Edgar Chairez · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jordan WrightMetricBruno Silva

4.10

Strikes / min

3.86

6.03

Strikes absorbed / min

5.35

31%

Strike defense

41%

2.09

TDs / 15 min

0.77

100%

Takedown defense

74%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.93evenly matched on net striking-1.49

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jordan WrightBruno Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jordan Wright(7 fights)Bruno Silva(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -4.6|Blue +4.6

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +154.0|Blue -154.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jordan WrightTargetBruno Silva

By target zone

60% acc · 45%

Head

64% acc · 95%

100% acc · 50%

Body

100% acc · 5%

Leg

100% acc · 5%

By position

69% acc · 55%

Distance

62% acc · 42%

90% acc · 45%

Clinch

60% acc · 16%

Ground

73% acc · 42%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jordan Wright rounds

even

Bruno Silva rounds

Round 1Bruno Silva edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:23

Knockdowns0

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:10Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

20 / 26

Sig Strikes

19 / 29

76%

Sig Str %

65%

22 / 28

Total Strikes

22 / 33

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:23

Ctrl Time

0:10

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Bruno Silva	19 / 29	22 / 33	0 / 0	0
1	Jordan Wright	20 / 26	22 / 28	0 / 0	0

Jordan Wright

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights7

Bruno Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights23