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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Nassourdine Imavov won · U-DEC

Elo1410

Elo1541

Jordan WilliamsvsNassourdine ImavovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · Saturday, October 3, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Nassourdine Imavov won

U-DEC

Style matchupJordan Williams: Pressure fightervsNassourdine Imavov: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Jordan Williams wins(69.3%)

Actual result: Nassourdine Imavov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jordan Williams at -125 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Nassourdine Imavov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Nassourdine Imavov has 23pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Jordan Williams (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Jordan Williams

Red Corner

Nassourdine Imavov

Blue Corner

-125

(56%)

Vegas Odds

+105

(49%)

1410

Elo

1541

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'3"

190.5 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jordan WilliamsL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Mickey Gall · Jul 21

KOvs Ian Garry · Nov 21

latest

Nassourdine ImavovW5 streak

oldest →

vs Roman Dolidze · Feb 24

KOvs Jared Cannonier · Jun 24

vs Brendan Allen · Sep 24

KOvs Israel Adesanya · Feb 25

vs Caio Borralho · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jordan WilliamsMetricNassourdine Imavov

5.83

Strikes / min

4.28

5.46

Strikes absorbed / min

3.17

35%

Strike defense

58%

1.11

TDs / 15 min

0.74

85%

Takedown defense

81%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.37evenly matched on net striking+1.11

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jordan WilliamsNassourdine Imavov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jordan Williams(3 fights)Nassourdine Imavov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -130.5|Blue +130.5

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jordan WilliamsTargetNassourdine Imavov

By target zone

28% acc · 83%

Head

56% acc · 74%

44% acc · 13%

Body

93% acc · 19%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

83% acc · 7%

By position

26% acc · 77%

Distance

58% acc · 71%

70% acc · 23%

Clinch

92% acc · 18%

Ground

57% acc · 12%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jordan Williams rounds

even

Nassourdine Imavov rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control1:11

10Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:41Control

Round 2Nassourdine Imavov edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:50

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:20Control

Round 3Nassourdine Imavov edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:23

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:50Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

30 / 98

Sig Strikes

68 / 110

32.7%

Sig Str %

60.7%

62 / 137

Total Strikes

81 / 126

0 / 3

TDs

1 / 8

TD %

6.7%

Sub Att

Rev

2:24

Ctrl Time

4:51

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Nassourdine Imavov	10 / 17	12 / 19	1 / 5	2
1	Jordan Williams	14 / 26	35 / 49	0 / 1	0
2	Nassourdine Imavov	29 / 45	38 / 57	0 / 2	2
2	Jordan Williams	7 / 27	13 / 37	0 / 2	0
3	Nassourdine Imavov	29 / 48	31 / 50	0 / 1	0
3	Jordan Williams	9 / 45	14 / 51	0 / 0	0

Jordan Williams

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights3

Nassourdine Imavov

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights11